Analyst Intelligence Profile
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile image

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT

YouTube@dkellercmt72 total signals22 active positions

President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC. Former Fidelity, StockCharts, Bloomberg, CMT Association. I help active investors and financial advisors make more informed investment decisions, inject more discipline into their investment process, and enrich relationships with their clients. Feel better about making better decisions!

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Verified performance layer
Ranked
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Reliability, success and live intelligence scores require analyst profile access.

Analyst health
Consistency95.67
Risk Adjusted0.00
Time Efficiency7.44
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Current access: Anonymous
Total Signals
72
All extracted predictions
Verified Signals
50
Signals with outcome history
Validated Signals
50
Signals eligible for analyst scoring
Success Rate
πŸ”’Locked
Verified prediction accuracy
Active Positions
22
Open predictions being tracked
Verified Honor Vault

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT's leaderboard legacy

Durable top-ten finishes preserved from historical Tahlil Plus AI leaderboard snapshots.

Unlocked
0/4
Best Rank
β€”
Podiums
0
Gold
0
Unawarded distinction
Ranked finishes
0
TP
β€”
Overall distinction

Overall Analyst Elite

Top-ten market-adjusted performance across the complete analyst intelligence layer.

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
0
Archive evidence
Overall Analyst Elite remains unawarded
No archived finish yet

No top-ten archive finish is recorded in this category.

0 verified ranked finishes across all active distinctionsFull leaderboard archive β†’
Outcome & Behavior
Verified, pending and expired prediction outcomes.
72 total
33
correct %
Correct
24
Fail
26
Pending
22
Expired
0
Behavior Fingerprint
Bullish SuccessπŸ”’Locked
Bearish SuccessπŸ”’Locked
Consistency95.67
Risk Adjusted0.00
Time Efficiency7.44
Avg Quality3.75
Live PnL Engine
πŸ”’Locked
Total live open-position PnL
Live
Winning Positions
3
Losing Positions
5
Live Win Rate
33.33%
Avg Live PnL
πŸ”’Locked
Median Live PnL
πŸ”’Locked
Best Live Position
12.28%
Worst Live Position
-11.49%
Live Intelligence
34.15
Avg Distance to Target
21.86%
Avg Distance to Invalidation
12.4%
Avg Prediction Confidence
46.37%
Performance

Historical outcome profile

Verified results, average return, runup, drawdown and risk/reward structure across this analyst’s signals.

Correct Signals
24
Failed Signals
26
Avg Return
0.74%
Median Return
-
Avg Runup
2.51%
Avg Drawdown
-1.88%
Avg Risk / Reward
1.82
Avg Time to Result
134.48h
Avg Target Distance
5.26%
Avg Invalidation Distance
3.95%
Market Expertise

Where this analyst performs best

Market-level expertise based on valid signal count, success rate, expertise score and adjusted market performance.

Explore Markets
Symbol Expertise

Best performing symbols

Symbol-level performance based on success rate, average return, drawdown and expertise score.

Explore Symbols
Live Positions

Active predictions currently being tracked

Open predictions by this analyst with live PnL, current price, risk/reward and live position score.

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Recent Intelligence

Latest extracted signals

Recent predictions extracted from this analyst’s content with price structure, result, timeframe and quality score.

Open Filtered Intelligence
ETH
ETHUSDT logo
ETHUSDT
cryptobearishPendingForward Signal
Publish
2,675.47
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
2,750
Return
-
Runup
0.74%
Drawdown
-0.28%
Risk/Reward
2.35
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily28 Sept 2026, 21:54 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
PG
PG logo
PG
stockbearishPendingForward Signal
Publish
149.044998
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
150
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
9.47
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily28 Sept 2026, 21:54 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
NVD
NVDA logo
NVDA
stockbearishPendingForward Signal
Publish
228.880005
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
235
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
3.08
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily28 Sept 2026, 21:54 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
TLT
TLT logo
TLT
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
79.330002
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
78
Return
-
Runup
-0.58%
Drawdown
-1.34%
Risk/Reward
1.26
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily25 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
XLC
XLC logo
XLC
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
112.93
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
110
Return
-
Runup
-0.12%
Drawdown
-1.74%
Risk/Reward
0.71
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily25 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
XLI
XLI logo
XLI
stockbullishInvalidated
Publish
170.429993
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
168
Return
-1.43%
Runup
-0.29%
Drawdown
-1.46%
Risk/Reward
1.06
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily25 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-1.43%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
XLE
XLE logo
XLE
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
62.049999
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
61
Return
-
Runup
1.19%
Drawdown
-0.35%
Risk/Reward
0.9
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily25 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
TLT
TLT logo
TLT
stockbearishPendingForward Signal
Publish
79.43
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
81
Return
-
Runup
0.04%
Drawdown
-1.46%
Risk/Reward
0.91
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily24 Sept 2026, 21:42 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
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