Analyst Intelligence Profile
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile image

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT

YouTube@dkellercmt19 total signals9 active positions

President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC. Former Fidelity, StockCharts, Bloomberg, CMT Association. I help active investors and financial advisors make more informed investment decisions, inject more discipline into their investment process, and enrich relationships with their clients. Feel better about making better decisions!

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Verified performance layer
Ranked
πŸ”’ Premium

Analyst scoring locked

Reliability, success and live intelligence scores require analyst profile access.

Analyst health
Consistency96.86
Risk Adjusted1.90
Time Efficiency16.73
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Current access: Anonymous
Total Signals
19
All extracted predictions
Verified Signals
10
Signals with outcome history
Validated Signals
10
Signals eligible for analyst scoring
Success Rate
πŸ”’Locked
Verified prediction accuracy
Active Positions
9
Open predictions being tracked
Verified Honor Vault

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT's leaderboard legacy

Durable top-ten finishes preserved from historical Tahlil Plus AI leaderboard snapshots.

Unlocked
0/4
Best Rank
β€”
Podiums
0
Gold
0
Unawarded distinction
Ranked finishes
0
TP
β€”
Overall distinction

Overall Analyst Elite

Top-ten market-adjusted performance across the complete analyst intelligence layer.

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
0
Archive evidence
Overall Analyst Elite remains unawarded
No archived finish yet

No top-ten archive finish is recorded in this category.

0 verified ranked finishes across all active distinctionsFull leaderboard archive β†’
Outcome & Behavior
Verified, pending and expired prediction outcomes.
19 total
47
correct %
Correct
9
Fail
1
Pending
9
Expired
0
Behavior Fingerprint
Bullish SuccessπŸ”’Locked
Bearish SuccessπŸ”’Locked
Consistency96.86
Risk Adjusted1.90
Time Efficiency16.73
Avg Quality3.88
Live PnL Engine
πŸ”’Locked
Total live open-position PnL
Live
Winning Positions
5
Losing Positions
4
Live Win Rate
55.56%
Avg Live PnL
πŸ”’Locked
Median Live PnL
πŸ”’Locked
Best Live Position
8.34%
Worst Live Position
-4.77%
Live Intelligence
48.65
Avg Distance to Target
3.72%
Avg Distance to Invalidation
3.55%
Avg Prediction Confidence
57.99%
Performance

Historical outcome profile

Verified results, average return, runup, drawdown and risk/reward structure across this analyst’s signals.

Correct Signals
9
Failed Signals
1
Avg Return
2.38%
Median Return
-
Avg Runup
3.31%
Avg Drawdown
-0.48%
Avg Risk / Reward
1.33
Avg Time to Result
59.79h
Avg Target Distance
3.88%
Avg Invalidation Distance
2.63%
Market Expertise

Where this analyst performs best

Market-level expertise based on valid signal count, success rate, expertise score and adjusted market performance.

Explore Markets
Symbol Expertise

Best performing symbols

Symbol-level performance based on success rate, average return, drawdown and expertise score.

Explore Symbols
Live Positions

Active predictions currently being tracked

Open predictions by this analyst with live PnL, current price, risk/reward and live position score.

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Recent Intelligence

Latest extracted signals

Recent predictions extracted from this analyst’s content with price structure, result, timeframe and quality score.

Open Filtered Intelligence
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
7,727.410156
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,600
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
0.96
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily11 Aug 2026, 23:36 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
XLI
XLI logo
XLI
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
184.789993
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
182
Return
-
Runup
1.34%
Drawdown
-0.43%
Risk/Reward
1.15
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality64.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily07 Aug 2026, 00:38 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
XLE
XLE logo
XLE
stockbullishTarget Hit
Publish
58.185001
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
57
Return
3.12%
Runup
3.39%
Drawdown
-1.85%
Risk/Reward
1.53
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality64.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily07 Aug 2026, 00:38 UTC
Final Outcome
Target Hit
3.12%
Final StatusTarget Hit
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
XLY
XLY logo
XLY
stockbullishTarget Hit
Publish
118.139999
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
117
Return
0.73%
Runup
1.59%
Drawdown
0.3%
Risk/Reward
0.75
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality64.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily07 Aug 2026, 00:38 UTC
Final Outcome
Target Hit
0.73%
Final StatusTarget Hit
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
XLF
XLF logo
XLF
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
57.814999
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
57
Return
-
Runup
0.48%
Drawdown
-0.82%
Risk/Reward
0.84
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality64.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily07 Aug 2026, 00:38 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
7,711.379883
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,600
Return
-
Runup
0.81%
Drawdown
0.08%
Risk/Reward
0.8
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality64.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily07 Aug 2026, 00:38 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
XAU
XAUUSD logo
XAUUSD
forexbullishTarget Hit
Publish
4,245.799805
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
4,200
Return
1.28%
Runup
2.69%
Drawdown
1.83%
Risk/Reward
1.18
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality60.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily05 Aug 2026, 21:53 UTC
Final Outcome
Target Hit
1.28%
Final StatusTarget Hit
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
XLF
XLF logo
XLF
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
57.860001
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
56
Return
-
Runup
0.94%
Drawdown
-0.9%
Risk/Reward
1.15
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT@dkellercmtdaily04 Aug 2026, 21:59 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
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