Analyst Intelligence Profile
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile image

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles

YouTube@themarketchronicles16 total signals3 active positions

The Market Chronicles delivers independent stock market analysis focused on what actually moves prices: liquidity, credit spreads, interest rates, volatility, and options flow. I’m Mike Kramer, independent market strategist and founder of Mott Capital. If you’re tired of headline noise, this channel breaks down the cross-asset signals that drive equity tone, reversals, and risk. What you’ll get here Liquidity and funding dynamics shaping market regimes Early warning signals of systemic stress Rates, FX, commodities, and cross-asset confirmation Options positioning, gamma, and volatility dynamics Key technical levels, failed breakouts, and “what changes my view” triggers Premium tiers for serious investors (exclusive videos): Tier 1 ($49.99): Daily Market Edge Daily premium breakdowns of the key events and signals driving markets Tier 2 ($99.99): The Strategist’s View Everything in Tier 1 Plus a longer weekly strategic deep dive into major themes and structural market drivers

Analyst Score Engine
Verified performance layer
Ranked
🔒 Premium

Analyst scoring locked

Reliability, success and live intelligence scores require analyst profile access.

Analyst health
Consistency95.34
Risk Adjusted0.00
Time Efficiency1.63
Premium Intelligence Locked

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Total Signals
16
All extracted predictions
Verified Signals
13
Signals with outcome history
Validated Signals
13
Signals eligible for analyst scoring
Success Rate
🔒Locked
Verified prediction accuracy
Active Positions
3
Open predictions being tracked
Verified Honor Vault

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 's leaderboard legacy

Durable top-ten finishes preserved from historical Tahlil Plus AI leaderboard snapshots.

Unlocked
0/4
Best Rank
Podiums
0
Gold
0
Unawarded distinction
Ranked finishes
0
TP
Overall distinction

Overall Analyst Elite

Top-ten market-adjusted performance across the complete analyst intelligence layer.

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
0
Archive evidence
Overall Analyst Elite remains unawarded
No archived finish yet

No top-ten archive finish is recorded in this category.

0 verified ranked finishes across all active distinctionsFull leaderboard archive →
Outcome & Behavior
Verified, pending and expired prediction outcomes.
16 total
19
correct %
Correct
3
Fail
10
Pending
3
Expired
0
Behavior Fingerprint
Bullish Success🔒Locked
Bearish Success🔒Locked
Consistency95.34
Risk Adjusted0.00
Time Efficiency1.63
Avg Quality3.59
Live PnL Engine
🔒Locked
Total live open-position PnL
Live
Winning Positions
3
Losing Positions
0
Live Win Rate
100%
Avg Live PnL
🔒Locked
Median Live PnL
🔒Locked
Best Live Position
2.93%
Worst Live Position
0.28%
Live Intelligence
38.3
Avg Distance to Target
4.47%
Avg Distance to Invalidation
4.85%
Avg Prediction Confidence
33.14%
Performance

Historical outcome profile

Verified results, average return, runup, drawdown and risk/reward structure across this analyst’s signals.

Correct Signals
3
Failed Signals
10
Avg Return
-1.45%
Median Return
-
Avg Runup
3.93%
Avg Drawdown
-0.81%
Avg Risk / Reward
1.59
Avg Time to Result
614.12h
Avg Target Distance
5.58%
Avg Invalidation Distance
3.35%
Market Expertise

Where this analyst performs best

Market-level expertise based on valid signal count, success rate, expertise score and adjusted market performance.

Explore Markets
Symbol Expertise

Best performing symbols

Symbol-level performance based on success rate, average return, drawdown and expertise score.

Explore Symbols
Live Positions

Active predictions currently being tracked

Open predictions by this analyst with live PnL, current price, risk/reward and live position score.

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Recent Intelligence

Latest extracted signals

Recent predictions extracted from this analyst’s content with price structure, result, timeframe and quality score.

Open Filtered Intelligence
NVD
NVDA logo
NVDA
stockbearishCheckingForward Signal
Publish
214.75
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
225
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
2.41
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality60.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily22 Aug 2026, 17:10 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
NDX
NDX logo
NDX
stockbearishCheckingForward Signal
Publish
29,309.248047
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
30,200
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
1.58
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality60.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily22 Aug 2026, 17:10 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbearishCheckingForward Signal
Publish
7,674.100098
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,850
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
0.42
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality60.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily22 Aug 2026, 17:10 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
VIX
VIX logo
VIX
stockbearishInvalidated
Publish
14.25
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
16
Return
-12.28%
Runup
12.91%
Drawdown
4.49%
Risk/Reward
1
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality80.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily15 Aug 2026, 17:03 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-12.28%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbullishInvalidated
Publish
7,786.009766
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,750
Return
-0.46%
Runup
0.06%
Drawdown
-0.53%
Risk/Reward
0.39
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality80.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily15 Aug 2026, 17:03 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-0.46%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
VIX
VIX logo
VIX
stockbearishInvalidated
Publish
14.89
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
16
Return
-7.45%
Runup
8.06%
Drawdown
-4.77%
Risk/Reward
3.23
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality68.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily08 Aug 2026, 18:18 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-7.45%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
NDX
NDX logo
NDX
stockbullishInvalidated
Publish
28,136.263672
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
27,500
Return
-2.26%
Runup
1.14%
Drawdown
-2.42%
Risk/Reward
1.36
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily25 Jul 2026, 16:37 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-2.26%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
BTC
BTCUSDT logo
BTCUSDT
cryptobullishInvalidated
Publish
64,193.69
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
63,000
Return
-1.86%
Runup
2.42%
Drawdown
-2.26%
Risk/Reward
1.93
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily25 Jul 2026, 16:37 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-1.86%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
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