Analyst Intelligence Profile
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile image

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles

YouTube@themarketchronicles23 total signals6 active positions

The Market Chronicles delivers independent stock market analysis focused on what actually moves prices: liquidity, credit spreads, interest rates, volatility, and options flow. I’m Mike Kramer, independent market strategist and founder of Mott Capital. If you’re tired of headline noise, this channel breaks down the cross-asset signals that drive equity tone, reversals, and risk. What you’ll get here Liquidity and funding dynamics shaping market regimes Early warning signals of systemic stress Rates, FX, commodities, and cross-asset confirmation Options positioning, gamma, and volatility dynamics Key technical levels, failed breakouts, and “what changes my view” triggers Premium tiers for serious investors (exclusive videos): Tier 1 ($49.99): Daily Market Edge Daily premium breakdowns of the key events and signals driving markets Tier 2 ($99.99): The Strategist’s View Everything in Tier 1 Plus a longer weekly strategic deep dive into major themes and structural market drivers

Analyst Score Engine
Verified performance layer
Ranked
🔒 Premium

Analyst scoring locked

Reliability, success and live intelligence scores require analyst profile access.

Analyst health
Consistency95.69
Risk Adjusted0.00
Time Efficiency1.69
Premium Intelligence Locked

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Current access: Anonymous
Total Signals
23
All extracted predictions
Verified Signals
17
Signals with outcome history
Validated Signals
17
Signals eligible for analyst scoring
Success Rate
🔒Locked
Verified prediction accuracy
Active Positions
6
Open predictions being tracked
Verified Honor Vault

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 's leaderboard legacy

Durable top-ten finishes preserved from historical Tahlil Plus AI leaderboard snapshots.

Unlocked
0/4
Best Rank
—
Podiums
0
Gold
0
Unawarded distinction
Ranked finishes
0
TP
—
Overall distinction

Overall Analyst Elite

Top-ten market-adjusted performance across the complete analyst intelligence layer.

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
0
Archive evidence
Overall Analyst Elite remains unawarded
No archived finish yet

No top-ten archive finish is recorded in this category.

0 verified ranked finishes across all active distinctionsFull leaderboard archive →
Outcome & Behavior
Verified, pending and expired prediction outcomes.
23 total
22
correct %
Correct
5
Fail
12
Pending
6
Expired
0
Behavior Fingerprint
Bullish Success🔒Locked
Bearish Success🔒Locked
Consistency95.69
Risk Adjusted0.00
Time Efficiency1.69
Avg Quality3.61
Live PnL Engine
🔒Locked
Total live open-position PnL
Live
Winning Positions
1
Losing Positions
0
Live Win Rate
100%
Avg Live PnL
🔒Locked
Median Live PnL
🔒Locked
Best Live Position
0.15%
Worst Live Position
0.15%
Live Intelligence
43.6
Avg Distance to Target
2%
Avg Distance to Invalidation
1.93%
Avg Prediction Confidence
46.88%
Performance

Historical outcome profile

Verified results, average return, runup, drawdown and risk/reward structure across this analyst’s signals.

Correct Signals
5
Failed Signals
12
Avg Return
-1.37%
Median Return
-
Avg Runup
3.35%
Avg Drawdown
-1.14%
Avg Risk / Reward
1.91
Avg Time to Result
591.68h
Avg Target Distance
4.85%
Avg Invalidation Distance
2.96%
Market Expertise

Where this analyst performs best

Market-level expertise based on valid signal count, success rate, expertise score and adjusted market performance.

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Symbol Expertise

Best performing symbols

Symbol-level performance based on success rate, average return, drawdown and expertise score.

Explore Symbols
Live Positions

Active predictions currently being tracked

Open predictions by this analyst with live PnL, current price, risk/reward and live position score.

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Recent Intelligence

Latest extracted signals

Recent predictions extracted from this analyst’s content with price structure, result, timeframe and quality score.

Open Filtered Intelligence
SMH
SMH logo
SMH
stockbearishCheckingForward Signal
Publish
522.830017
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
525
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
10.52
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality68.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily31 Oct 2026, 18:41 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbearishCheckingForward Signal
Publish
7,580.950195
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,600
Return
-
Runup
-
Drawdown
-
Risk/Reward
1.62
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality68.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily31 Oct 2026, 18:41 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
DXY
DXY logo
DXY
forexbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
101.809998
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
100
Return
-
Runup
0.67%
Drawdown
-0.26%
Risk/Reward
1.21
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily24 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
NDX
NDX logo
NDX
stockbearishPendingForward Signal
Publish
28,956.066406
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
30,500
Return
-
Runup
3.08%
Drawdown
-2.98%
Risk/Reward
1.2
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily24 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbullishPendingForward Signal
Publish
7,622.990234
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,500
Return
-
Runup
1.78%
Drawdown
-1.25%
Risk/Reward
1.16
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily24 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
SPX
SPX logo
SPX
stockbearishPendingForward Signal
Publish
7,658.740234
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
7,880
Return
-
Runup
1.46%
Drawdown
-1.71%
Risk/Reward
1.62
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality76.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesweekly17 Oct 2026, 16:41 UTC
Live Position
Live
-
Position Statusinactive
Live Score-
To Target-
To Invalid.-
VerifiedNo
Open Signal
DXY
DXY logo
DXY
forexbullishTarget Hit
Publish
99.160004
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
97
Return
2.36%
Runup
2.4%
Drawdown
-0.57%
Risk/Reward
1.08
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality72.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily29 Aug 2026, 15:47 UTC
Final Outcome
Target Hit
2.36%
Final StatusTarget Hit
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
NVD
NVDA logo
NVDA
stockbearishInvalidated
Publish
214.75
Current
-
Target
-
Invalidation
225
Return
-4.77%
Runup
5.42%
Drawdown
-3.44%
Risk/Reward
2.41
Reliability0.00
Success0.00%
Quality60.00%
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles  profile imageMott Capital's Market Chronicles @themarketchroniclesdaily22 Aug 2026, 17:10 UTC
Final Outcome
Invalidated
-4.77%
Final StatusInvalidated
Final Score-
Final Target Gap-
Final Risk Gap-
VerifiedYes
Open Signal
Analyst Intelligence Graph

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