Prediction Case File
SPXstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

JB Cycles2026-03-08T20:26:30dailytechnical
Live Outcome
0.57%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
6,738.14990234
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,700
Predicted objective
Invalidation
7,100
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
6,900
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
0.57%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.37%
Risk / Reward
0.11
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
0.57%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
42.4
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-08T20:26:30
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved Candle
2026-03-09T13:30:00
Max High
6,699.79980469
Max High At
2026-03-09T13:30:00
Min Low
6,636.04003906
Min Low At
2026-03-09T13:30:00
Time To Result
1,732.58h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

JB Cycles
YouTube · @jbcycles
Reliability
33.64
Success Rate
21.88%
Consistency
66.69
Risk Adjusted
12.25
Avg Return
13.62%
Avg Quality
3.14
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T04:41:36
External Post ID
BzZEIFsakn4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis highlights historical cyclical patterns within the market, suggesting a potential bearish trend. The speaker observes a 17-week cycle where the market tends to peak and then decline. Current analysis of daily data suggests the market is in a topping phase. Historical analogs from 2016 and 2011 indicate a pattern of early lows followed by a reversal and then a more significant downtrend. The speaker anticipates a similar pattern, with a potential retest of previous highs before a substantial drop. Specifically, the analysis points to a potential low around the 6500-6700 range for the SPX index, with a failure point for the bearish thesis being a sustained move above 7100.

Original Caption

SPX to test 200MA this week? 08.03.26 I am expecting som more downside this coming week, and we have the 200MA at around 6580. An early and not-so-deep low will favor a squeeze almost up to ATH, while a deeper and later low in the week should suggest just lower shoulders into May...

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
SPX Bearish Signal by JB Cycles | Tahlil Plus AI