SPX to test 200MA this week? 08.03.26
1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active
JB Cycles08 Mar 2026, 20:26 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The analysis highlights historical cyclical patterns within the market, suggesting a potential bearish trend. The speaker observes a 17-week cycle where the market tends to peak and then decline. Current analysis of daily data suggests the market is in a topping phase. Historical analogs from 2016 and 2011 indicate a pattern of early lows followed by a reversal and then a more significant downtrend. The speaker anticipates a similar pattern, with a potential retest of previous highs before a substantial drop. Specifically, the analysis points to a potential low around the 6500-6700 range for the SPX index, with a failure point for the bearish thesis being a sustained move above 7100.
AI-generated summary based on the source content.
Evidence and evaluation progress
- Original source published
The analyst published the original source item.
- Source recorded by Tahlil Plus
The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.
- Market predictions extracted
1 eligible signal linked to this case.
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- First prediction resolved
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All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.
Signals in this source
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My monthly and weekly data look ready for some decent downside, but I can´t see a good setup in the daily data. We either have to get a real breakdown this coming week, or maybe it will be a final fake bullish breakout (beartrap) that will complete the setup...
Time is running out for bears in this "10-week oscillation"... but it could still happen into around Feb.09
We still have a bearish setup for an inverted 4 week cycle the next couple weeks, but if nothing happens... it will be rally into March.
JB Cycles
Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.