Prediction Case File
YouTubeEvaluation Complete

SPX breakdown or relief rally 01.03.26

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

JB Cycles profile imageJB CyclesIndependent analyst profile
Source published
01 Mar 2026, 19:59 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
19 May 2026, 02:38 UTC
Video preview for SPX breakdown or relief rally 01.03.26
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis suggests that the S&P 500 is nearing a potential top, with a 17-week cycle indicating a possible shift in trend. The presenter highlights that previous similar patterns in 2011-2012 and 2022 involved a sideways consolidation followed by a breakdown. The current market action shows a double top formation, with the price struggling to break out. The presenter's primary scenario is a rally to a new high around 4600, followed by a decline over the next month or two. An alternative scenario suggests a more immediate decline. The analysis leans towards a bearish outlook for the near term, with a potential retest of previous lows if the 4450 level is breached.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
100%
1 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

JB Cycles

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
35.0
Tracked signals
34
Historical success
23.5%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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