Prediction Case File
PLTRstockbullishLive Pending

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Tom Nash2025-08-05T04:15:17long_termfundamental
Live Outcome
-16.2%
Performance since published
Pending
Publish Price
160.74499512
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
134.69999695
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
100
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
160.66
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
211.05%
Initial Invalidation Distance
37.79%
Risk / Reward
5.58
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-16.2%
active
Current Price
134.69999695
Live Score
46.36
Distance to Target Now
271.2%
Distance to Invalidation Now
25.76%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-05T04:15:17
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved
-
Resolved At
-
Resolved Candle
-
Max High
207.49000549
Max High At
2025-11-03T20:30:00
Min Low
105.32009888
Min Low At
2025-05-06T13:30:00
Time To Result
-h
Result
Pending
Validation Status
Daily
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Tom Nash
YouTube · @TomNashTV
Reliability
40.6
Success Rate
27.08%
Consistency
78.05
Risk Adjusted
-13.1
Avg Return
-1.95%
Avg Quality
3.86
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
tlogQIhTX_U
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video discusses Palantir's Q2 earnings, noting sales of $1.0 billion against an estimate of $939 million and significant EPS beat. US commercial revenue increased by 93% year-over-year, with customer count up 43%. Q3 outlook forecasts $936 million in sales and $495 million operating profit. The presenter highlights that FY25 sales are expected to be $4.14 billion. Alex Karp's statement about 10x US commercial revenue over the next 5 years is emphasized. The analysis also covers its first billion-dollar revenue quarter, with US revenue up almost 70%, US commercial up 93%, and government up 53%. The rule of 40 score is 94, with expectations of 7,000 clients by 2030 and 30,000 clients by 2035 and a price target of $500 over the next 5 years. Long-term value investors are advised to Dollar Cost Average but the risk is high, so the presenter recommends de-risking at 10,20,30% .The revenue has gone to $1B after being under $300 million since 2020 and there is high level of institutional investors now.

Original Caption

Try Stock MVP here: https://www.stock-mvp.com Join ROIC Academy - https://www.patreon.com/tomnash ------------------------------------------ Nothing in this video constitutes tax, legal, financial and/or investment advice, nor does any information in this video constitute an invitation and/or solicitation to invest in a particular security. This video merely expresses the author’s opinion and should be viewed as such. Before proceeding with any investments, you should do your own research and seek advice from an independent licensed professional. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The author of this video does NOT accept liability for any investment decisions, as this video is provided only for educational and entertainment purposes. Although the author has endeavored for the information in this video to be correct and accurate, he does NOT assume liability nor does he guarantee that the data will be updated, correct and/or accurate at all times.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
Yes
Verified Outcome
No
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
Yes
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Final Result
Target Consensus Exclusion
-