Prediction Case File
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1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active

Tom Nash profile imageTom NashIndependent analyst profile
Source published
05 Aug 2025, 04:15 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC
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Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video discusses Palantir's Q2 earnings, noting sales of $1.0 billion against an estimate of $939 million and significant EPS beat. US commercial revenue increased by 93% year-over-year, with customer count up 43%. Q3 outlook forecasts $936 million in sales and $495 million operating profit. The presenter highlights that FY25 sales are expected to be $4.14 billion. Alex Karp's statement about 10x US commercial revenue over the next 5 years is emphasized. The analysis also covers its first billion-dollar revenue quarter, with US revenue up almost 70%, US commercial up 93%, and government up 53%. The rule of 40 score is 94, with expectations of 7,000 clients by 2030 and 30,000 clients by 2035 and a price target of $500 over the next 5 years. Long-term value investors are advised to Dollar Cost Average but the risk is high, so the presenter recommends de-risking at 10,20,30% .The revenue has gone to $1B after being under $300 million since 2020 and there is high level of institutional investors now.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Analyst snapshot

Tom Nash

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
40.6
Tracked signals
65
Historical success
26.5%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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