Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-11-07T06:12:30weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.7%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
188.16999817
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
219.64
Predicted objective
Invalidation
181.2
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
203.38
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
16.72%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.7%
Risk / Reward
4.52
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-3.7%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-07T06:12:30
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-07T15:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-07T15:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-07T15:30:00
Max High
188.16999817
Max High At
-
Min Low
178.91999817
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
9.28h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
mUHjM_OtwCg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on NVIDIA (NVDA), identifying 181.20 as a key support level for the rest of the year. The analyst had previously considered a two-to-three-week objective following a settlement three days prior below 203.38, which itself was a settlement from a week earlier. Crossing above 203.38 triggered a secondary buy signal, reinforcing a bullish outlook with a target in the 219.64 to 229.36 range within two to three weeks. However, the stock then fell back and closed below 203.38.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal