Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-11-07T03:47:30monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-18.28%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
446.10998535
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
526.79
Predicted objective
Invalidation
364.57
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
414.11
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
18.09%
Initial Invalidation Distance
18.28%
Risk / Reward
0.99
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-18.28%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-07T03:47:30
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Max High
446.10998535
Max High At
-
Min Low
421.88000488
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
3,504.2h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
3MXhlHkToF4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis covers Tesla (TSLA) with a weekly chart that goes back almost six years. A buy signal occurred two months ago above 364.57. For near-term investors who are long, the analyst suggests holding out for 526.79 as a longer-term objective. The analyst mentions the seven-month structure is at 490.97 and held the highs about five weeks ago. Testing the rising channel top suggests considering the channel base, currently at 379.54.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal