Prediction Case File
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My main scenario is a bearish breakdown before Xmas... but there is an alternative scenario where we make a topping formation into Februrary.

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

JB Cycles profile imageJB CyclesIndependent analyst profile
Source published
23 Nov 2025, 22:42 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC
Video preview for My main scenario is a bearish breakdown before Xmas... but there is an alternative scenario where we make a topping formation into Februrary.
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis suggests the SPX will decline to a December low, potentially forming a right shoulder pattern, projecting a decrease into the summer with several wavelets. It also looks at 17 week cycles for Bitcoin and S&P. Bitcoin will experience a bounce and make a final low in December, and the 4 week cycle is bullish. Average for Bitcoin for December is bearish. Historical charts from 1965 suggest an upcoming failure and move to a bear market. Historical chart suggests the support will actually hold and sideways movement into February. The longer term cycles are suggesting a low around September 2026.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
100%
1 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

JB Cycles

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
35.0
Tracked signals
34
Historical success
23.5%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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