Prediction Case File
YouTubeEvaluation Complete

Todays video from Lars von Thienen inspired me to make a video about the 57 week cycle, allthough he did not mention it in his video (but the double 114 week cycle). When I study the 57 week cycle, I don not come to the same market outlook as Lars...

2 extracted signals · 2 resolved · 0 still active

JB Cycles profile imageJB CyclesIndependent analyst profile
Source published
05 May 2025, 19:09 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC
Video preview for Todays video from Lars von Thienen inspired me to make a video about the 57 week cycle, allthough he did not mention it in his video (but the double 114 week cycle). When I study the 57 week cycle, I don not come to the same market outlook as Lars...
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video analyzes the German DAX and S&P 500 (SPX) using a 57-week cycle, concluding that current market conditions are bearish. It mentions that max fear, from a cycle composite, correlates with a market top. The analyst shows a chart for the DAX where the cycle is at its peak and predicts that the downtrend for the market should resume soon, as he doesn't agree with the theory of the 'max fear at the bottom'. He presents an SPX chart where the cycle is also at its peak and the prices have already turned down, confirming the bearish trend for SPX. The video suggests that a rally to an all-time high is unlikely for the S&P 500 and a marginal higher high might occur for DAX.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
2
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
2
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0%
2 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  3. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  4. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

JB Cycles

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
35.0
Tracked signals
34
Historical success
23.5%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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