Todays video from Lars von Thienen inspired me to make a video about the 57 week cycle, allthough he did not mention it in his video (but the double 114 week cycle). When I study the 57 week cycle, I don not come to the same market outlook as Lars...
2 extracted signals · 2 resolved · 0 still active
JB Cycles05 May 2025, 19:09 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The video analyzes the German DAX and S&P 500 (SPX) using a 57-week cycle, concluding that current market conditions are bearish. It mentions that max fear, from a cycle composite, correlates with a market top. The analyst shows a chart for the DAX where the cycle is at its peak and predicts that the downtrend for the market should resume soon, as he doesn't agree with the theory of the 'max fear at the bottom'. He presents an SPX chart where the cycle is also at its peak and the prices have already turned down, confirming the bearish trend for SPX. The video suggests that a rally to an all-time high is unlikely for the S&P 500 and a marginal higher high might occur for DAX.
AI-generated summary based on the source content.
Evidence and evaluation progress
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The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.
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My monthly and weekly data look ready for some decent downside, but I can´t see a good setup in the daily data. We either have to get a real breakdown this coming week, or maybe it will be a final fake bullish breakout (beartrap) that will complete the setup...
Time is running out for bears in this "10-week oscillation"... but it could still happen into around Feb.09
JB Cycles
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