Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-08-26T16:18:57weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.8%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
351.76998901
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
359.13
Predicted objective
Invalidation
331.37
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
346.6
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.09%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.8%
Risk / Reward
0.36
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-5.8%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-26T16:18:57
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-02T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-02T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-02T04:00:00
Max High
351.76998901
Max High At
-
Min Low
351.76998901
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
155.68h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
zkx46tJP5Hw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on TSLA's daily technicals, indicating long-term resistance in the low to upper $350s, supported by the $350.38 channel top, which is currently being retested. The analyst anticipated a 3 to 5-day buy signal above $320.80. Last Friday saw a reversal, closing above $320.80, suggesting a return to the $350.38 channel top. $350.38 is about a dollar below $351.39, forming a roughly nine-point range. Buying may persist through September, but a fall back to $308.80 is possible within two to three weeks, and potentially to the mid $250s over several months, contingent on a settlement below $308.80. If a settlement closes below $331.37 today, $308.80 can be expected by the end of next week. $331.37 could contain session weakness, allowing a move back to $350.38 within days. There is a swing trade range from selling at the low $350s to buying in the low $330s. $320.80 could be a solid intraday trade point, with settlements below $308.80 indicating a good high, followed by a fall to $277.86, and a potential drop to the $256.24 channel base by October. Resistance is being tested, and the market may fall back to $308.80 in two to three weeks if closing below $331.37 in 3-5 days. Upside targets include $350.38, $351.39, and potentially $359.13. A long-term buy signal is contingent on closing the week above $359.13. Closing above $350.38 today would be a sign to exit short positions. A substantial run could occur if closing above $359.13 on Wednesday.

Original Caption

AUG 26, 2025 UPDATE Tesla is trading in a tight range: $350 resistance vs. $331 support. Swing traders sell the $350s, buy the $330s—but the real fireworks come if $TSLA breaks $359 for a bull run or slips under $308 for a drop toward $250s.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal