Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-06-29T19:33:56intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.19%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
2,438.83
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2,333.21
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2,443.42
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
2,419.79
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
4.33%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.19%
Risk / Reward
23.01
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.19%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-06-29T19:33:56
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-06-29T22:00:00
Resolved At
2025-06-29T22:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-06-29T22:00:00
Max High
2,510.47
Max High At
-
Min Low
2,412
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
2.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
JezbDhxETS8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst provides a detailed market analysis, focusing on Bitcoin and other altcoins, and offers an outlook for the upcoming week. He reviews trading thoughts on Monday. His predictions include expectations for specific levels for a bounce or resistance, and includes commentary on deep retracements and taking long positions around $103,300. He mentions missing a long position. He discusses resistance level break and a short position around $106,500 with imbalanced funding to expect short squeeze. He also mentions some levels to buy on Bitcoin between 103,500 and 104,400. For ETH, he points to $2,333.21; for SOL, $126.15; and for AAVE, $235.94.

Original Caption

#btc #bitcoin #altcoins #technicalanalysis #trading #crypto #bitcoinlive Get a 30% fee discount on Bitunix: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Qriptal Get access to our imbalance indicator: https://www.qriptal.com/

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal