Prediction Case File
SUIUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-08-01T09:55:01dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-16.26%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3.4856
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5.7453
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2.919
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3.5191
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
64.83%
Initial Invalidation Distance
16.26%
Risk / Reward
3.99
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-16.26%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-01T09:55:01
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,691.07h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.73
Success Rate
37.42%
Consistency
80.97
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
hV9e9h2g6oA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter provides an Elliott Wave analysis for SUI, Render, and FET.SUIUSD: 12345 of Wave one ended a potential ABC correction and another potential wave 1, expecting continuation for massive Wave 3, targeting $9.7, and in the next wave 3, there's 12345 with a 1.618 level up to $10, invalidation of bullish at $2.91. A possible zigzag ABC upwards has one to one fib level at 6.8 USD.RENDERUSD: One to five potentially leading a diagonal wave one ends ABC corrective wave. They retest that the wave one zone continuation to the upside as one, two, three, four, five target is 5.9. wave forward should be validated at $3.3544 level. It's showing that wave C of two hours is an expanding flat expanding.FETUSD: the 12345 wave 1 wave ABC wave to end. A BNC. The one to one fib level as 6.7, all has the final Target Wave C. In both cases in the way you’re so unfinished one move up into a higher site.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community where you can get a daily analysis request and more critical updates for the crypto market, Elliot wave education and Q&As. MEMBERSHIPS - Patreon Membership: https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading - You Tube Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR: - FREE VERSION 1.0 THROUGH MONTHLY DISCORD MEMBERSHIP - FREE VERSION 2.0 THROUGH LIFETIME DISCORD MEMBERSHIP ON PATREON - WITHOUT MEMBERSHIP YOU CAN SEND ME A DIRECT EMAIL: kg.trading.ew@gmail.com 🟡 COPY TRADING: Only for Discord Members Follow KG TRADING on X : https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto 🟠 STOCK MARKET CHANNEL: https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer: This video is for *educational purposes only*. "We do not provide financial advice, and all predictions are speculative". Viewers should conduct their own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses incurred.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal