Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

JayWave2025-08-25T17:49:21weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.48%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
112,339.37
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
123,293
Predicted objective
Invalidation
107,311
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
111,571
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
9.75%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.48%
Risk / Reward
2.18
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-4.48%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-25T17:49:21
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-01T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-01T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-01T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
154.17h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

JayWave
YouTube · @JayWaveOfficial
Reliability
52.08
Success Rate
40.99%
Consistency
91.2
Risk Adjusted
-7.34
Avg Return
-1.6%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
KNXgbyZYra0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst is conducting a technical analysis on BTCUSDT and HBARUSDT. He identifies that a target is not necessarily in compliance with any particular regulation and notes that at the present market the price of BTC is 111571 and the price may range to 123293, giving the idea of a long position however the price should stay above 107311 for this idea to be valid. HBARUSDT is trading on bullish actual trend, but it's predicted a bearish trend where the target could reach 0.1653, the price can't reach a price higher than 0.2418 otherwise this idea is invalidated. The overall analysis is focused on identifying the direction of potential trades. At the moment, the analyst is just going over the charts to review the data and present the ideas.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal