Prediction Case File
AVAXUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Altcoin Doctor2025-08-25T15:33:03weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-39.19%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
24.32
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
67.85
Predicted objective
Invalidation
14.79
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
24.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
178.99%
Initial Invalidation Distance
39.19%
Risk / Reward
4.57
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-39.19%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-25T15:33:03
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,109.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Altcoin Doctor
YouTube · @AltcoinDoctor
Reliability
31.37
Success Rate
11.31%
Consistency
80.58
Risk Adjusted
-32.59
Avg Return
-15.41%
Avg Quality
3.45
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
HX3YULuAJvg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis predicts a potential breakout for AVAXUSDT in the next two weeks. Consolidation is expected to continue between 25 and 15 dollars. The target price is set to around $67.85 if it breaks the $25 resistance. A drop below $14.79 would invalidate the analysis. The video also suggests an impending altcoin season, with a short-term downward trend for Bitcoin dominance. Key levels to watch on BTC.D chart include $66.26. The overall crypto market cap is projected to reach 5.6 trillion.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal