Prediction Case File
SMCIstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-07-31T23:18:41dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-14.01%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
58.95999908
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
66
Predicted objective
Invalidation
50.7
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
58.97
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
11.94%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.01%
Risk / Reward
0.85
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-14.01%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-31T23:18:41
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-06T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-06T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-06T13:30:00
Max High
59.40000153
Max High At
-
Min Low
45.77000046
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
134.18h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
SNh2Dz3p1Go
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on SMCI stock, currently priced at 58.97. It anticipates a continued upward movement to a target of 66.00. Key levels include breaking through the 54.20 mark and reaching 62.32, where the price faces rejection. The analysis identifies a stair-step pattern, supported by ascending support trends, volume increases, and break outs of resistance zones.. It also highlight potential pullback scenarios, with support around 55.00 and 57.30-57.40 and invalidate the analysis falling bellow 50.70.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $SMCI price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor #smci #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal