Prediction Case File
GOOGLstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Traveling Trader2025-07-18T19:13:24dailytechnical
Live Outcome
0.14%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
185.03999329
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
184.78
Predicted objective
Invalidation
186
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
185.94
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
0.14%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.52%
Risk / Reward
0.27
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
0.14%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
100%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality96.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-18T19:13:24
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-07-18T19:30:00
Resolved At
2025-07-18T19:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-07-18T19:30:00
Max High
185.16999817
Max High At
-
Min Low
184.50999451
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.27h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Traveling Trader
YouTube · @TheTravelingTrader
Reliability
58.23
Success Rate
49.38%
Consistency
89.96
Risk Adjusted
-1.87
Avg Return
1.26%
Avg Quality
3.66
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
JRfSWJ6C6aQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The trader is shorting 100 GOOGL contracts, specifically 185 puts expiring today. The risk-reward ratio is 2 to 1. The trader closes positions at 40%, 55%, and 77% profit using market orders due to the bid-ask spread on liquid stocks like Google. The trader would like to see ES fall to a specific level. The trader closed 50 contracts at a 40% profit, then another 25 contracts at a 55% profit, and then another 15 contracts at a 77% profit. Finally, he closes the rest of the position at a 72% profit.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal