Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-08-09T00:51:03monthlyfomo
Live Outcome
-5.67%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
116,611.34
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
125,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
110,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
116,558.46
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
7.19%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.67%
Risk / Reward
1.27
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-5.67%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

20%
Principal
40%
Actionable
20%
Overall
Principal20.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate20.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality32.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-09T00:51:03
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
403.13h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
42.91
Success Rate
28.12%
Consistency
76.69
Risk Adjusted
-14.96
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
j3SGKtsar70
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst recommends four cryptocurrencies for beginners: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Chainlink, and XRP. He advises allocating 25% of the investment capital equally to each of these cryptocurrencies. The analyst suggests waiting for price pullbacks before investing, rather than buying when prices are at all-time highs. He briefly mentions the underlying technology for each of the coins and states that by studying the white papers, the viewer can have a grasp of the market.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal