Prediction Case File
AVAXUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Cilinix Crypto2025-08-24T12:50:08weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.26%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
25.07
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
30
Predicted objective
Invalidation
23
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
25.4
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
19.66%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.26%
Risk / Reward
2.38
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-8.26%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-24T12:50:08
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-01T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-01T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-01T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
183.15h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Cilinix Crypto
YouTube · @CilinixCrypto
Reliability
54.72
Success Rate
44.42%
Consistency
90.96
Risk Adjusted
-4.84
Avg Return
-0.56%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
d7N-fqDX5kE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter analyzes AVAXUSDT, noting its stability since July 21. He highlights the recent increase in volume and DEX trading volumes. He identifies a rejection at the yearly rolling VWAP around $26.82 but anticipates a potential breakout. Citing momentum, he suggests AVAX might break above this level later, expecting a move back to the point of control around $23.6, followed by a rally towards $30 if the reaction is strong and supported by fundamentals. He calls for close level observation and suggests a blind limit order between $24 and $23.50. The analysis also considers overall altcoin market bullish trends. The presenter emphasizes the need for a strong reaction at the point of control, and mentions there will be economic data next week, which makes the analysis more sensible.

Original Caption

AVALANCHE AVAX PRICE PREDICTION 2025 Join the Signal group for Great Trades & becoming Profitable! https://www.patreon.com/cilinixcrypto https://discord.gg/yQbebHvNea (In the Signals Entry channel) https://t.me/cilinixcryptogroup (In the Group Bio) https://www.cilinix.com/#/ Signal Group Reviews https://www.trustpilot.com/review/cilinix.com ️Register on Bybit now and receive a free $ bonus! https://partner.bybit.com/b/28097 ️ Social links! www.cilinix.com https://twitter.com/cilinixcrypto cilinixfxcapital@gmail.com @CilinixCrypto Disclaimer: This video is not financial advice and it is not intended to be. This video is for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide advice in any type of way.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal