Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Thomas Kralow2025-08-24T12:02:25monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.47%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
114,712.94
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
150,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
111,884
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
115,135
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
30.76%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.47%
Risk / Reward
12.47
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-2.47%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-24T12:02:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
6.95h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Thomas Kralow
YouTube · @ThomasKralow
Reliability
47.1
Success Rate
34.07%
Consistency
92.01
Risk Adjusted
-9.23
Avg Return
-2.77%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Xh9vDKqc818
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT. For ETHUSDT, the analyst is looking for a worst case scenario in the 4000 range, also 4300 is of interest. A long trade was built from 4000-4200. A take profit was executed yielding 32000. The total account is at 160k from 100k in 90 days. Ethereum is experiencing ETF buying, the target for Ethereum is between 8k and 12k.On BTCUSDT, a retest of the 114k area is happening, the old time high is already reached. The analyst mentions a 112k level as interesting for entries and looking for short trades. In Jackson Hall's speech the rates cut chances have increased and is considered priced in.

Original Caption

Here is what has caused the crypto pump and the reason I took the profit on the ETH trade here. Most dont see this coming. $10,000,000 BYBIT WSOT CHAMPIONSHIP: https://partner.bybit.com/b/wsot29497 ---------- My Discord Trading Cummunity: https://discord.gg/bpEc5KV8tr EXCHANGE BONUSES Trade with Bybit: https://bit.ly/Bybit30030 ($30,050 BONUS ) Trade (Non KYC) with EVEDEX: https://invite.evedex.com/startnow (10% CASHBACK ) ______ #ethereum #bitcoin #crypto ______ FOR PARTNERSHIPS EMAIL MY TEAM: kralowpr@gmail.com ______ FOLLOW ME ON SOCIAL MEDIA: My Instagram account: https://www.instagram.com/thomaskralow/ My Telegram channel: https://t.me/kralowalerts My Facebook account: https://www.facebook.com/thomaskralow My X: https://X.com/TKralow My Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thomaskralow 00:00 This Is Powerful 01:50 Previous Trades 02:45 About ETFs 03:20 Powell Finally Gave Good News 05:01 My Expectations DISCLAIMER: Trading is risky and most traders lose money. Past trading performance of Thomas Kralow or his team is not indicative of future returns and results. You should never trade with money you can’t afford to lose. My results are not typical. We do not track the typical results of past or current subscribers who watch my videos or are in my community. It’s simply not possible. As a provider of trading tools and educational courses, we do not have access to the personal trading accounts or brokerage statements of our customers and/or viewers. As a result, we have no reason to believe our customers/viewers perform better or worse than traders as a whole. Do not mirror trade me, or anyone else. Mirror trading is extremely risky. Please do your own research before putting your capital at risk. All of the content on my channel is for educational purposes only. No data, content, or information provided by Thomas Kralow, associated websites, or the other products and services of Thomas Kralow, is intended, and shall not constitute or be construed as, advice or any recommendation to buy, sell or hold a particular security/asset or pursue any particular investment strategy. This video may include affiliate links or sponsored mentions but does not constitute an endorsement. Any featured companies, products, platforms, or services reflect my personal opinion and experience. I may earn a compensation. Always do your own research before using third-party services. Not intended for users in the UK, US, India, China, or other restricted jurisdictions. If you don’t agree with those terms and our full disclaimer - you should not continue watching my videos.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal