Invalidated
Prediction Case File
IWM
IWM logo
IWM
stockbullish

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Figuring Out Money profile imageFiguring Out Money14 May 2026, 00:04 UTCdailytechnical
-0.95%
final result
final
Final validation snapshot

This signal is no longer part of live tracking. Its performance, runup and drawdown are frozen at the final validation point.

Invalidated30 Jul 2026, 08:34 UTCFinal PnL -0.95%
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Publish Price
🔒Locked
Entry captured near publish time
Final Checked Price
🔒Locked
Frozen at final validation
Target Price
🔒Locked
Predicted objective
Invalidation
🔒Locked
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
🔒Locked
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
🔒Locked
Initial Invalidation Distance
🔒Locked
Risk / Reward
🔒Locked
Timeframe
Daily
Prediction Band
Entry, current price, target and invalidation on one price axis.
risk map
Invalidation
0
0%
Entry
0
0%
Current
0
0%
Target
0
0%
Invalidation
0
Entry
0
Current
0
Target
0
Fail zoneEntry zoneTarget zone
Final Position
-0.95%
Frozen at final validation result
Final Snapshot
Final Checked Price
-
Final Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
0%
Distance to Invalidation Now
0%
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

🔒 Premium

Quality intelligence locked

Detailed AI quality scores are part of the premium prediction case file.

Principal
🔒Locked
Comprehensible
🔒Locked
Accurate
🔒Locked
Actionable
🔒Locked
Overall
🔒Locked
Derived Quality
🔒Locked
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
14 May 2026, 00:04 UTC
First Checked
30 Jul 2026, 08:34 UTC
Last Checked
15 May 2026, 13:30 UTC
Resolved
30 Jul 2026, 08:34 UTC
Finalized At
30 Jul 2026, 08:34 UTC
Final Candle
🔒Locked
Max High
🔒Locked
Max High At
🔒Locked
Min Low
🔒Locked
Min Low At
🔒Locked
Time To Result
🔒Locked
Result
Invalidated
Validation Status
resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Figuring Out Money profile image
Figuring Out Money
YouTube · @figuringoutmoney
Reliability
53.89
Success Rate
43.37%
Consistency
96.83
Risk Adjusted
-1.89
Avg Return
-0.22%
Avg Quality
3.53
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
30 Jul 2026, 08:34 UTC
External Post ID
dhK-Wdz0gzo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary
🔒This intelligence block requires access.
Original Caption

Something Is Breaking Beneath The Highs. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq keep ripping to new all-time highs, but underneath the surface something very different is happening — and almost nobody is talking about it. In today's stock market report, we walk through the charts that show exactly how the consumer is quietly breaking down even as the indices print fresh highs, why the entire rally is being held together by just two names in the consumer discretionary sector, and how the 10-year yield is moving in near-perfect lockstep with names like Home Depot, Lululemon, McDonald's, Tractor Supply, Nike, and TJ Maxx. We break down the dispersion index hitting its highest reading since April 2025, weakening market breadth across the percent of stocks above the 20, 50, and 200 day moving averages, the bearish divergence forming on the Nasdaq Composite Bullish Percent Index and the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index, and the fish hook turn on the Nasdaq Summation Index with the parabolic SAR signal. We also cover the equal weight consumer discretionary ETF RSPD collapsing while XLY masks the damage, the housing index breaking down the same way it did in 2005, the 30-year yield pushing above 5% and setting up a potential breakout, the 2-year yield trading above the federal funds rate and what that historically signals about future rate moves, copper breaking to new highs as an inflationary tell, oil holding defensively on geopolitical risk, and what the rate hike probabilities are pricing in through 2027. We update the daily, weekly, and monthly implied moves on SPY and SPX, walk through where the Magnificent 7 / Fantastic 8 names sit relative to their weekly implied moves including NVDA, GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, AVGO, AMZN, and META, and lay out the intermarket framework you need to navigate a stock picker's market. If you trade options, swing trade breakouts, follow market breadth, technical analysis, intermarket analysis, or care about where rates, inflation, and the consumer are actually headed, this is the kind of stock market analysis you don't want to miss. 🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/figuringoutmoney __________________________________________________________________________________________ 🔔 Subscribe now and never miss an update: https://www.youtube.com/c/figuringoutmoney?sub_confirmation=1 📧 For business inquiries or collaboration opportunities, please contact us at [email protected] 📈 Follow us on social media for more insights and updates: 🟢 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/figuringoutmoney 🟢 Twitter: https://twitter.com/marketmike ______________________________________________________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER: I am not a professional investment advisor, nor do I claim to be. All my videos are for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is not trading advice. I am wrong all the time. Everything you watch on my channel is my opinion. Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you! Thank you for supporting my channel :) #Stock​market #StockMarketAnalysis #Day​Trading

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal