We're About To Find Out 🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/figuringoutmoney Next week is the biggest week of the earnings season with Microsoft and Meta reporting after the close Wednesday, Apple and Amazon after the close Thursday, stacked on top of the Fed interest rate decision, Chair Warsh's first press conference, core PCE, GDP growth, personal income, personal spending and ADP employment, and in this video we walk through exactly how the market is pricing this in with the SPX weekly expected move jumping from nine point one one to thirteen twenty five last week and now expanding again to fourteen thirty nine into the catalyst stack. Intel actually reported killer earnings and initially ripped to its upper earnings expected move and upper weekly implied move before flatlining overnight and closing near the lows Friday, Micron finished the week back within its weekly expected move, and Broadcom, Nvidia and AMD all touched the upper weekly implied move and got rejected right back inside showing even good news is not breaking these levels yet. The SPY closed well within its weekly expected move slightly down on the week and month with no monthly implied move tag yet, price below a declining five day moving average, and the Conditions Matrix still in Bear Strong with the Nasdaq composite below a declining ten day moving average and the SPX gamma flip line at seventy four forty five sitting right at the neutral to slightly negative gamma line where the jaws of volatility can open up. CME Fed watch prices sixty two percent probability of holding rates July twenty ninth with a slight hike probability, but September prices a higher likelihood of a rate increase, so Warsh's guidance is the key variable. The signal chart deep dive shows the five ten twenty EMA structure on both the Nasdaq composite and SPX stacked bearishly firing a sell signal, the bullish percent charts on the Nasdaq composite, Nasdaq 100, XLK and XLY all approaching but not yet at the twenty to thirty percent oversold zones that historically mark bounces, the Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator at back to back minus fifty readings just short of minus sixty capitulation, the Nasdaq summation index crossing below zero for the first time since April with parabolic SAR flipping above signaling potential trend change, and the Nasdaq advance decline line with twenty one and fifty EMAs both below zero pointing down. The total put to call ten day moving average is moving toward the ninety five to one point zero bearish extreme zone that historically precedes rallies, CPCE crossed back above signaling a bigger trend change, growth over value ten period rate of change is deep at minus five percent showing value extended over growth, and the housing index divergence from the S&P 500 dating back to July twenty twenty four is working into its second year, mirroring the two thousand five to two thousand seven housing versus S&P divergence that preceded the great financial crisis. Intermarket, the dollar is defensively bid at year to date highs, the ten year yield at multi year highs with the S&P 500 going flat sideways under both, oil showing lower highs after tagging its upper weekly, XLE tagging and backing off its upper weekly, VVIX not at the one ten to one twelve warning zone, back month versus front month volatility extended, and DSPX over COR3M elevated at four point four one with COR3M popping to ten but still historically suppressed. The JPM collar sits at seventy one hundred, put wall at seventy three hundred and call wall at seventy six hundred frame the channel, SPY weekly expected move is seven twenty four to seven fifty two, Monday daily implied move seven thirty three twenty one to seven forty four sixty five, and QQQ is trading outside its monthly implied move on a candle that could print as a bearish three bar reversal on a weak close, with the QQQ quarterly implied move near six fifty as the level to watch on a fast slip. __________________________________________________________________________________________ 📧 For business inquiries or collaboration opportunities, please contact us at [email protected] 📈 Follow us on social media for more insights and updates: 🟢 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/figuringoutmoney 🟢 Twitter: https://twitter.com/marketmike ______________________________________________________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER: I am not a professional investment advisor, nor do I claim to be. All my videos are for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is not trading advice. I am wrong all the time. Everything you watch on my channel is my opinion. Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you! Thank you for supporting my channel :) #Stock​market #StockMarketAnalysis #Day​Trading