Prediction Case File
PEPEUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-08-22T00:30:10weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.33%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.00001045
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.00001417
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.00000937
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.00001045
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
35.6%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.33%
Risk / Reward
3.44
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-10.33%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-22T00:30:10
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-01T05:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-01T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-01T05:00:00
Max High
0.0000117
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.00000937
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
244.48h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.26
Success Rate
30%
Consistency
80.26
Risk Adjusted
-26.19
Avg Return
-6.74%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
xOhwXgeHPA8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of Pepe coin (PEPEUSDT). On the weekly timeframe, PEPEUSDT is analyzed with a symmetrical triangle. The presenter points out an upside trajectory of 40% should the coin follow this predicted double-bottom formation, with an initial 20% gain and then an additional 15%. The price is currently hovering around 0.00001045. A bearish scenario is also outlined, indicating a potential downside of 10% if support is lost, bringing the price to approximately 0.00000937. The presenter suggests Dollar Cost Averaging could be used to add to positions.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal