The Moment We've All Been Waiting For 🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/figuringoutmoney Tomorrow we get inflation data one hour before the open and bank earnings kick off with Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, and in this video we walk through exactly how the market is pricing the risk going in, including the earnings expected moves with upper, lower and two sigma levels on every one of those financial names, plus how Fed Waller signaled a rate hike may be needed if core inflation runs hot and how the July twenty ninth meeting is now basically a coin toss with fifty six point seven percent probability of holding rates and forty three percent pricing a twenty five basis point hike. We break down today's tape which took a risk off tone on geopolitical headlines including the blockade setup and renewed strike intent on Iran, with the S&P 500 down eighty basis points, Nasdaq 100 down one point eight eight percent, tech and consumer discretionary hit hardest while energy, utilities, staples and financials caught the bid, oil ripping on the geopolitical news even though the broader trend in oil remains down with the trend marker still north of eighty six, ten year yields taking off setting up TLT for a potential bounce play into the lower weekly implied move, HYG high yield placing a lower high while SPY put in a higher high flagging a smart money versus dumb money divergence, South Korea EWY twenty five percent off the highs and SOX getting hit hard. We cover the Conditions Matrix framework with the Nasdaq composite closing below the ten day moving average which is still inclining, the SPX gamma flip line at seventy four fifty eight, the constituent volatility VIXEQ versus VIX divergence at possibly the largest reading in history, back month versus front month volatility pushing above one point two which historically sets up pullbacks and bull traps, the DSPX at highs with COR3M at historic lows and the ratio coming off an extreme, the Saylor 2 Shift tool printing a sell signal on last week's close with no trigger yet, utilities four week rate of change outperforming the S&P 500, plus the daily and weekly implied moves on SPX with the expected move widening into the catalyst to seven fifty four seventy upper and seven forty three lower, and where XLE, gold, staples, TLT, healthcare, biotech, tech and consumer discretionary are sitting within their weekly implied moves. We finish with individual trade setups I'm watching including ANAB, ANRO, BMY, MMED, AMRX, XMTR, HXL, Datadog, MITK and Allegiance, mostly healthcare and industrial names with tight consolidations, higher lows, year to date VWAP reclaims and potential breakouts, all traded with consistent risk of about point two five percent per position and a preference for higher ADR names. If you trade options, swing trade, follow gamma exposure... this is the kind of stock market analysis you don't want to miss. TIMESTAMPS: Intro: 00:00 Market Snapshot: 00:42 Stock Market Conditions: 07:58 Expected Moves: 11:31 Trade Setups: 13:56 __________________________________________________________________________________________ 🔔 Subscribe now and never miss an update: https://www.youtube.com/c/figuringoutmoney?sub_confirmation=1 📧 For business inquiries or collaboration opportunities, please contact us at [email protected] 📈 Follow us on social media for more insights and updates: 🟢 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/figuringoutmoney 🟢 Twitter: https://twitter.com/marketmike ______________________________________________________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER: I am not a professional investment advisor, nor do I claim to be. All my videos are for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is not trading advice. I am wrong all the time. Everything you watch on my channel is my opinion. Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you! Thank you for supporting my channel :) #Stock​market #StockMarketAnalysis #Day​Trading