Prediction Case File
VIRTUALUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-08-21T20:50:01dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-17.81%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
1.1884
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.9522
Predicted objective
Invalidation
1.4
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
1.1904
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
19.88%
Initial Invalidation Distance
17.81%
Risk / Reward
1.12
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-17.81%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-21T20:50:01
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-13T11:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-13T11:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-13T11:00:00
Max High
1.4027
Max High At
-
Min Low
1.0035
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
542.15h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.76
Success Rate
37.45%
Consistency
80.96
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
H0WNKC-Yp04
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses Virtuals, XLM, and TAO, all analyzed with Elliott Wave principles. For Virtuals, the current price is $1.1904, and the analyst expects a drop to $0.9522, but cautions about an invalidated C wave and potential for a complex ABC correction, giving a failure bound of $1.40. Regarding XLM, it appears to be following a bearish path as well to $0.3099 as it forms a double zigzag, leading him to set the upper bound as $0.43, indicating that the price should not go beyond if the Wave analysis are correct, the analyst also notes that even though is looking bearish and going to those prices could potentially do it before as a corrective measure to go up . Lastly, for TAO, the assessment points to further downside, with a target around $262.05, setting the fail level at $400. All three assets show potential for further downside as per the analysis and would invalidate the bearish setup in case of retesting the failure level. Bitcoin dominance may influence these movements as well.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community where you can get a daily analysis request and more critical updates for the crypto market, Elliot wave education and Q&As. MEMBERSHIPS - Patreon Membership: https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading - You Tube Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR: - FREE VERSION 1.0 THROUGH MONTHLY DISCORD MEMBERSHIP - FREE VERSION 2.0 THROUGH LIFETIME DISCORD MEMBERSHIP ON PATREON - WITHOUT MEMBERSHIP YOU CAN SEND ME A DIRECT EMAIL: kg.trading.ew@gmail.com 🟡 COPY TRADING: Only for Discord Members Follow KG TRADING on X : https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto 🟠 STOCK MARKET CHANNEL: https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer: This video is for *educational purposes only*. "We do not provide financial advice, and all predictions are speculative". Viewers should conduct their own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses incurred. 00:00 VIRTUALS 4:40 XLM 8:05 TAO

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal