Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-08-19T22:01:43dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.4%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
113,413.08
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
100,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
115,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
113,269
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
11.83%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.4%
Risk / Reward
8.45
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.4%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-19T22:01:43
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-22T14:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-22T14:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-22T14:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
63.97h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
LAgUr9xjN6Q
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst presents a bearish outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting a break in the uptrend and three major movements since the launch of ETFs, with movements of $48,000, $55,000, and $50,000. It is suggested that a 112,000 level will almost certainly be backtested if it's not broken. The central line of the bull market is being tested at $25,000. The analysis forecasts a return to $100,000-$105,000 within three days if Bitcoin fails to stay above $115,000 by August 22, suggesting a linear growth. If a break below $112000 occurs, a backtest of the previous all time high is going to happen, pointing to a $90,000 to $100,000 backtest.

Original Caption

Bitcoin could crash HARD! Are you ready? Sign Up For the First Cohort Trading Group (FCTG) and start trading with myself and other expert traders RIGHT NOW! (Jebb20 20% OFF CODE ALREADY APPLIED IN LINK) - (EMAIL Malakipatz@cryptojebb.com with proof of $100 Deposit on Toobit and your UID, and we will respond with a 1 YEAR FREE coupon code for FCTG!) https://checkout.teachable.com/secure/247946/checkout/order_wkmp5wdc?coupon_code=JEBB20 Top-Tier Crypto Trading Starts Here Earn Up to $130 INSTANTLY, $30,000 CASHBACK & join exclusive campaigns just by trading Claim your spot now: https://www.toobit.com/t/btDDtE Sign up for the Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis Academy and start your journey towards Bitcoin MASTERY!: (JEBB20 20% OFF CODE ALREADY APPLIED IN THE LINK!) https://checkout.teachable.com/secure/247946/checkout/order_n9ffbzcd?coupon_code=JEBB20 Sign up for the Financial Sovereignty Academy and start your journey towards financial prosperity!: (JEBB20 20% OFF CODE ALREADY APPLIED IN THE LINK!) https://checkout.teachable.com/secure/247946/checkout/order_fxx0sw7k?coupon_code=JEBB20 GET LUX ALGO: https://luxalgo.com/?rfsn=5721802.692b0c I am not a financial adviser; this is not financial advice. I strongly encourage all to do their own research before doing anything with their money. All investments/trades/buys/sells etc. should be made at your own risk with your own capital.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal