Prediction Case File
SOFIstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-08-20T02:04:21dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.42%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
22.73999977
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
20.73
Predicted objective
Invalidation
25.11
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
22.75
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
8.84%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.42%
Risk / Reward
0.85
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.42%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-20T02:04:21
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-22T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-22T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-22T14:30:00
Max High
25.25
Max High At
-
Min Low
21.20999908
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
60.42h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
jPCmqwFltEw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis of SOFI indicates a close at 22.75, residing within the 22.42-23.76 range. It identifies a rejection at the 25 level, peaking at 24.91, and sellers gaining control. The speaker points out that the 25 level acts as stubborn resistance. The analysis considers whether the price will bounce at 22.42 or if sellers will push it down to the 20.73-22.42 range. The speaker refers to the potential retest support at 20.73, suggesting a pullback is likely. On the weekly timeframe, the speaker highlights the 25 dollar level as persistent resistance with a flush further, forming a cup and handle.The speaker also points out that a strong rejection is expected. The speaker points out to a support zone of 22.42. On the hourly timeframe, the predicted outcome is the price may come back to 22.42. He is giving the target of this channel 20.73. From the perspective of the analysis, the range is 20.73 to 25.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed SoFi Technologies (SOFI) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $SOFI price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor #sofistock #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal