Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

AllinCrypto2025-08-18T17:00:02weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-28.54%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
116,040
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
306,319.92
Predicted objective
Invalidation
82,924.22
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
115,206.56
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
163.98%
Initial Invalidation Distance
28.54%
Risk / Reward
5.75
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-28.54%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-18T17:00:02
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-21T07:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-21T07:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-21T07:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
2,269.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

AllinCrypto
YouTube · @realallincrypto
Reliability
41.02
Success Rate
25.29%
Consistency
84.53
Risk Adjusted
-25
Avg Return
-8.43%
Avg Quality
3.31
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
aEUdF8BR2ew
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses the S&P 500 futures, highlighting it's slightly down today, but the lacklustre markets are due to the holiday season, and that the broader trend for Bitcoin remains obviously bullish. For bitcoin it is mentioned that it has a cup and handle pattern, and there has been some specific talk of a 300k target on Bitcoin from his Patron supporters. For bitcoin a daily chart is used with analysis suggesting consolidation. The analysis also touches on BTC dominance before transitioning to weekly coinshares weekly report. Here it notes the Ethereum's total inflows totaling 2.87 Billion with a total YTD inflows for Bitcoin representing 29% and Ethereum 11.6%.

Original Caption

Welcome back for another daily market update as always this will be a jam packed one! Join the Patreon and get exclusive access to our private Discord community which includes: 2 Weekly Meetings With Me My Portfolio Altcoin Watch List Early Access To Interviews And Videos Courses Patreon Link https://www.patreon.com/AllinCrypto Our website: https://allincrypto.com/ Podcasts - Allincrypto Podcast Our Cardano Stake Pool Name: ALLIN My Twitter - https://twitter.com/RealAllinCrypto PLEASE LIKE COMMENT AND SUBSCRIBE FOR MORE CONTENT THANKS FOR WATCHING DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser and this video is not financial advise this video is here for entertainment and educational use only #bitcoin #btc #crypto #altcoins #ai #bullrun #solana #cardano #ada #Hbar #hedera #ethereum #eth #ripple #xrp #icp

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal