Prediction Case File
SPCXstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

ImpossibleAnalysis2026-06-13T15:11:27intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-19.32%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
161.27000427
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
192.43499756
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
150
Predicted objective
Invalidation
170
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
161.29
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
6.99%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.41%
Risk / Reward
1.29
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-19.32%
closed
Current Price
192.43499756
Live Score
36.42
Distance to Target Now
22.05%
Distance to Invalidation Now
-11.66%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-13T15:11:27
First Checked
2026-06-16T01:01:30
Last Checked
2026-06-16T01:01:30
Resolved
2026-06-16T01:01:30
Resolved At
2026-06-16T01:01:30
Resolved Candle
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Max High
175.8999939
Max High At
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Min Low
168.36000061
Min Low At
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Time To Result
57.83h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

ImpossibleAnalysis
YouTube · @ImpossibleAnalysis
Reliability
42.31
Success Rate
26.95%
Consistency
72.67
Risk Adjusted
-19.81
Avg Return
-8.42%
Avg Quality
3.44
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-13T15:27:46
External Post ID
BJZ8bQxH76g
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on two stocks, SPCX and COIN, identifying a bearish trend. For SPCX, the initial rally post-launch is noted, followed by a retracement to its starting price. The analysis suggests that if SPCX holds above $160, a reversal is possible, but a break below $160 and specifically below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $159.50 would indicate a bearish continuation, targeting $150. The fail bound for this bearish move is set at $170. For COIN, a historical analysis is presented, showing a significant drop post-launch, followed by a retracement and then a further decline, forming lower lows. The analysis suggests that a break below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level around $165 would confirm a bearish trend, targeting $135. The fail bound for this bearish outlook is $185. The overall sentiment for both assets is bearish, with key levels and Fibonacci retracements being used to identify potential downside targets and invalidation points.

Original Caption

SPCX Space X Stock $200 PUMP NEXT or TOP CRASH To $100? SPCX Price Prediction and Technical Analysis Daily Technical Anlaysis for #Bitcoin, #DogeCoin, #Jasmy, #Pepe, #XRP, Luna Classic Lunc and More! Become a member and request TA videos: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCS-mnyBQ1NVyTKll2S11qHQ/join Disclaimer: By watching this video, you acknowledge and agree that the content provided is only an opinion, and you are responsible for any actions that you take. This is NOT financial advice.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal