Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-06-12T13:36:05dailytechnical
Live Outcome
3.22%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
398.39001465
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
411.22000122
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
413.91
Predicted objective
Invalidation
356.99
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
378.9
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
3.9%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.39%
Risk / Reward
0.37
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
3.22%
closed
Current Price
411.22000122
Live Score
52.58
Distance to Target Now
0.65%
Distance to Invalidation Now
13.19%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-12T13:36:05
First Checked
2026-06-13T01:01:29
Last Checked
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved At
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved Candle
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Max High
416
Max High At
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Min Low
386.76000977
Min Low At
2026-06-12T15:30:00
Time To Result
83.92h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-12T14:21:20
External Post ID
qhPqZ4Qc8_Q
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla (TSLA), currently trading around $378.90. A key bullish scenario is presented, with a target of $413.91, achievable within a 1 to 2 week timeframe, possibly extending to 3 to 5 days. This bullish outlook is supported by price action holding the one-year channel support tested 2-3 months ago and now holding at $356.99. The immediate resistance is identified at $446.78 and $442.85. A crucial pivot point for a bullish move is above $397.09, which, if decisively broken, could lead to the target of $413.91. Closing above $413.91 would validate a 'go long' strategy on a 1 to 2 week basis, potentially reaching $440s within 3 to 5 days. Conversely, a failure to hold the $378.90 level, with a close below it by the end of next week, would invalidate the bullish case and suggest a move back into the upper $370s. The analysis also highlights a descending channel structure as an objective at $378.90, preceded by the 5/8 Fibonacci level at $381.61, which has been tested over the last few months.

Original Caption

#TSLA HOLDS BULLISH ABOVE $397 AS #SPCX IPO BEGINS $379.76 #Tesla #daytrading Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla enters the highly anticipated #SpaceX IPO day with a short-term bullish bias intact after closing at $399.15 on Thursday and opening above the critical $397.09 pivot today. * #TSLA remains inside a broad one-year trading channel that has repeatedly produced 2–3 month swings between major support near $356.99 and resistance in the mid-$440s to low-$450s. Earlier this year, a breakdown projected a move to $356.99, which was successfully reached before the stock rallied back into the $450 area. The expectation is that this larger range remains in force through at least the third quarter. * The most important near-term support zone sits between $381.61 and $378.90. This area has repeatedly attracted buyers over recent weeks and remains a favorable risk/reward zone for short-term swing traders. As long as TSLA holds above this support band, the potential remains for another advance toward higher resistance levels. * For today, $397.09 is the key day-trading pivot. Holding above it keeps $413.91 in play. That level is the most important near-term decision point for the stock. A move into $413.91 could initially act as resistance, but a close above it would significantly strengthen the bullish outlook. In that scenario, TSLA could target the $430s and potentially the $440s within days to a couple of weeks, with $442.85-$446.78 becoming the next major objective. * On the other hand, failure at $413.91 could trigger another rotation lower inside the broader range, sending TSLA back toward the upper $370s. The bearish case would strengthen considerably on a close below $378.90, which would reopen the path toward a retest of the major $356.99 support level. * So, TSLA remains bullish above $397.09, but $413.91 is the level that could determine whether the stock rallies back toward the $440s or resumes its move toward the upper $370s. As traders focus on the SPCX IPO, Tesla remains at a critical technical crossroads. * If you enjoyed this update, please 👍🏻 like and 🔁 share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for June 12, 2026, in this short video 🔽

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal