Prediction Case File
HOODstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Satoshi Stacker2026-06-12T10:11:40dailytechnical
Live Outcome
6.37%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
92.25
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
98.12999725
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
100
Predicted objective
Invalidation
88
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
92.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
8.4%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.61%
Risk / Reward
1.82
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
6.37%
closed
Current Price
98.12999725
Live Score
40.45
Distance to Target Now
1.91%
Distance to Invalidation Now
10.32%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-12T10:11:40
First Checked
2026-06-13T01:01:29
Last Checked
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved At
2026-06-16T01:31:41
Resolved Candle
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Max High
100.41000366
Max High At
2026-06-15T13:30:00
Min Low
91.81999969
Min Low At
2026-06-12T13:30:00
Time To Result
87.33h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Satoshi Stacker
YouTube · @stackersatoshi
Reliability
50.71
Success Rate
38.8%
Consistency
89.86
Risk Adjusted
-8.3
Avg Return
-2.3%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-12T10:16:23
External Post ID
d0xxTzjKZaw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on several key assets including BTCUSD, ETHUSD, SOLUSD, META, and HOOD. For BTCUSD, ETHUSD, and SOLUSD, despite a current bearish trend, the predicted trend is bullish with targets at $66,000, $1,750, and $75 respectively, with failure bounds set at $62,500, $1,600, and $60. For META and HOOD, both are currently in a bullish trend, with targets at $195 and $100, and failure bounds at $165 and $88 respectively. The analysis highlights the potential for further upside in these assets, with risk management considerations for entry points and stop losses.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal