Prediction Case File
BMNRstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Aaron Bennett2025-08-18T07:22:36dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-30.59%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
57.63000107
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
160
Predicted objective
Invalidation
40
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
57.81
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
177.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
30.59%
Risk / Reward
5.81
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-30.59%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-18T07:22:36
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved Candle
2025-09-05T14:30:00
Max High
57.29999924
Max High At
2025-08-18T17:30:00
Min Low
39.70000076
Min Low At
2025-09-05T14:30:00
Time To Result
6,569.67h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Aaron Bennett
YouTube · @abennett
Reliability
52.82
Success Rate
42.2%
Consistency
89.08
Risk Adjusted
-11.11
Avg Return
-2.73%
Avg Quality
3.28
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
oeFdUmPmpZA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) and Ethereum (ETHUSDT) charts, noting Bitcoin's range-bound trading at approximately $117,000. The analyst anticipates a potential dip but highlights the recent filling of the CME gap around $119,485, a level where prices have retraced to, adding that 95% of those CME gaps are generally filled. Ethereum has not yet broken its all-time high of $4800, but the analyst expects it will, and analyzes Bitmine (BMNR), that is currently trading at $57.81

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal