Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.
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Source, summary and reference
The primary thesis suggests a bearish market for BTCUSDT. The analysis identifies a completed Wave A (three waves down), followed by a corrective Wave B (three waves up). The current observation points towards the commencement of Wave 1 of Wave C, which is expected to move downwards. Historical RSI data on the daily timeframe indicates oversold conditions, historically leading to a bounce. However, the immediate setup lacks a clear local entry for a bounce. The predicted scenario involves a Wave 2 bounce, which is expected to be short-lived, ultimately leading to a continued downtrend in Wave 3, followed by Waves 4 and 5. The target for this prolonged downtrend is estimated around 40,000. The failure point for this bearish outlook would be a significant move above 75,000, invalidating the current bearish count and suggesting a potential re-evaluation of the market structure.
Bitcoin Target 39K: Time Cycle & Bear Market Analysis Bitcoin has experienced its second-largest liquidation event since October, and the current chart structure continues to support a bearish outlook. In this video, I explain why a move toward $39,000 remains a realistic possibility from an Elliott Wave perspective, how the 100% Fibonacci extension target is calculated, and why the recent rally into the $82K-$83K resistance zone may have completed a larger B-wave correction. We also discuss the key alternative scenarios, including the possibility of a larger B-wave extension and the risk that Bitcoin may already be accelerating lower in a third wave decline. The next bounce will be critical, as its structure could reveal whether the market is preparing for another leg down or a larger corrective rally. Key levels covered include the $69.7K resistance zone, the important $74.4K pivot, the 200-day moving average around $78.8K, and major support levels between $65K and $60K. We also review the CVDD model and why the $48K region remains a significant long-term level to monitor. If you enjoy structured market analysis based on probabilities, risk management, Elliott Wave, macro insights, and on-chain data, subscribe and join our growing community. 10 Timestamps: 00:00 Bitcoin's path to $39,000 01:14 Massive liquidation event explained 02:28 Why $82K-$83K was major resistance 03:08 How the $39K target is calculated 04:00 The primary bear market scenario 05:18 Is Bitcoin already in wave 3 down? 06:38 Why all scenarios still point lower 07:34 The CVDD model and DCA framework 09:02 When could Bitcoin form a major low? 10:51 Short-term support and resistance levels ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧿 MCO Global: 💻 https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ✉️ Join the FREE Newsletter: 👉 https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ 🧿 Join the More Crypto Online Community: 👉 https://www.mcoglobal.com/memberships OR 👉 https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR 👉 https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline 🧿 Join the MCO Stocks & S&P500 Community: 👉 https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧿 Social Media: 👉 X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl 👉 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ 🔗 All Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ✉️ Contact: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧿 Exchanges & Brokers (Affiliate Links): 👉 Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO 👉 Trade on Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline 👉 Trade with XTB – a global, regulated broker offering 7,100+ stocks and 1,400 ETFs 🔗 https://geolink.xtb.com/XjNyk (Please note: XTB services are not available to U.S. clients.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧿 Research & Tools (Affiliate Links): 👉 Tradingview - Chart software Get a $15 discount on your first subscription: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=108760 👉 Bitcoin Magazine Pro – On-chain data & research Get 20% off with code: 20MCO https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com 👉 CoinTracking – Portfolio & tax tracking Get 10% lifetime discount with this link: https://cointracking.info/?ref=B776587 👉 Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline 👉 Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 👉 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ⚠️ Disclaimer The content provided on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments, or a financial service under applicable laws. All analyses and opinions expressed are strictly personal views. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and act at your own risk. Always consider your individual risk profile and, if necessary, consult with an independent financial advisor. Some of the links provided in this description may be affiliate links. If you choose to use them, MCO Global may receive a commission – at no additional cost to you. Thank you for supporting the channel. ⚠️ Important: Affiliate links related to cryptocurrency exchanges are not available to residents of the United Kingdom, the United States, or any other restricted jurisdictions. Please check the laws and regulations that apply in your country before using such services. Other affiliate links (e.g. VPN, hardware wallets, software tools) are unaffected.
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