Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-06-01T13:10:48weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.56%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
435.55999756
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
415.70999146
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
447.12
Predicted objective
Invalidation
430.57
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
445
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.65%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.15%
Risk / Reward
2.32
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-4.56%
closed
Current Price
415.70999146
Live Score
52.68
Distance to Target Now
7.56%
Distance to Invalidation Now
-3.57%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-01T13:10:48
First Checked
2026-06-02T01:01:50
Last Checked
2026-06-02T01:01:50
Resolved
2026-06-02T01:01:50
Resolved At
2026-06-02T01:01:50
Resolved Candle
2026-06-01T13:30:00
Max High
429.29998779
Max High At
2026-06-01T13:30:00
Min Low
421.20001221
Min Low At
2026-06-01T13:30:00
Time To Result
11.85h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-01T13:29:17
External Post ID
hOq19cYT6KU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla (TSLA), identifying key price levels and potential trading scenarios on a weekly chart. A previous support area around $354.65 was tested and held. The price then moved up to test the descending channel top at $448.95 and also the former channel bottom at $449.28. The confluence of these resistance levels is noted. The analysis suggests that holding above $430.57, a 5/8 Fibonacci level, would keep $447.12 or the upper $440s in reach. However, a break and weekly close below $430.57, or even an intraday test of $420.51, would signal a continuation south into the low $380s, potentially $386.70 or $381.61, within 1 to 3 weeks. Conversely, closing above $449.28 on a weekly basis would target the all-time high of $498.83, with a potential longer-term objective of $542.91 over 2 to 3 months. Currently, the sentiment leans bearish, with resistance expected in the upper $440s. The immediate target on a bearish continuation is seen around $420.51, with a failure below this level leading to the $380s.

Original Caption

#TSLA FAILED AT RESISTANCE — IS $380 NEXT? #Tesla #daytrading 🚨 Enjoy 50% off the first month on top of a 14 Day Free Trial – use coupon code WICKED50 at checkout Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla spent the past several weeks testing a major resistance zone near $449, but once again failed to secure the breakout bulls were looking for. The stock briefly traded above resistance intraday, yet never achieved a decisive weekly close above the key $448.95-$449.28 area. That failure keeps the broader technical outlook cautious despite the strong rebound from the March-April lows. * The significance of this level goes back several months. After breaking below the former $449.28 support structure earlier this year, #TSLA eventually fell to its projected long-term channel support near $354.65. The rally back into the $440s was anticipated, but the market has now returned to the exact same area that originally triggered the sell signal. So far, sellers continue to defend it. The key question now is whether $TSLA can hold support or begin another leg lower. * In the near term, we are watching $430.57 and, more importantly, $420.51. The $420.51 level represents the rising channel bottom that has repeatedly held on a closing basis despite intraday breaks. As long as Tesla remains above that level, the stock can continue consolidating and potentially make another run at the upper-$440s. * However, a close below $420.51 would significantly weaken the chart and could trigger a move into the low-$380s over the following 1-3 weeks. From there, the longer-term risk remains a retracement back toward the mid-$350s, especially if broader market conditions deteriorate or momentum continues fading. * On the bullish side, the roadmap is clear. A decisive close above $449.28 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the door to roughly $474 as an initial swing target. If $TSLA can also finish a week above resistance, the technical targets expand toward $498.83 and potentially $542.91 over the next several months. * For now, though, $TSLA has not earned that bullish outcome. Resistance has held, momentum has weakened, and it enters the new week trading below the key breakout zone. – Above $449, bulls regain control, and $500 comes back into focus. – Below $420, bears gain the upper hand, and a move toward the $380s becomes increasingly likely. * If you enjoyed this update, please 👍🏻 like and 🔁 share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for June 1, 2026, in this short video 🔽

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal