Prediction Case File
SPYstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-05-29T17:59:03dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.41%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
755.59997559
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
737.40002441
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
775
Predicted objective
Invalidation
738
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
758.08
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.57%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.33%
Risk / Reward
1.1
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.41%
closed
Current Price
737.40002441
Live Score
58.85
Distance to Target Now
5.1%
Distance to Invalidation Now
-0.08%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-29T17:59:03
First Checked
2026-06-02T01:01:50
Last Checked
2026-06-06T01:31:44
Resolved
2026-06-06T01:31:44
Resolved At
2026-06-06T01:31:44
Resolved Candle
2026-06-05T18:30:00
Max High
760.40002441
Max High At
2026-06-02T14:30:00
Min Low
735.52502441
Min Low At
2026-06-05T18:30:00
Time To Result
175.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-29T18:03:50
External Post ID
--m9KEAxKow
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on two distinct assets, SOFI and SPY, using daily charts. For SOFI, the price action indicates a potential shift from a bearish downtrend, characterized by a double bottom pattern and subsequent bullish engulfing candle, towards a bullish reversal. The target identified is 20.73, with a fail bound set below the recent low at 14.92. The overall market trend for SOFI is observed as bearish, but a bullish reversal is anticipated if key resistance levels are overcome. For SPY, the analysis highlights a strong bullish trend, with the price consolidating between 738.0 and 758.08. The target for SPY is projected to be 775.0, with a fail bound at 738.0, suggesting that a break below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook. Both assets show signs of positive momentum, with SOFI exhibiting a potential recovery and SPY continuing its upward trajectory.

Original Caption

SOFI Breakout Bounce Here? | SOFI Stock Analysis SOFI (SoFi Technologies) stock is pushing higher after a massive gap up followed up with a continuation today. Can SoFi breakout higher from here? In this analysis, we break down the key levels on SOFI, potential scenarios, and how broader market conditions could impact price in the coming days and weeks. 📈 Want to be able to read charts and take good trades with confidence? I built The Traders Framework: Chart Reading, Structure & Decision-Making 🏆 Get Access Here: https://ianctrades.com Subscribe for weekly trading insights, strategies, and market breakdowns. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #sofi #sofitechnologies #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal