Prediction Case File
IWMstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-05-28T23:14:27dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.55%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
292.01998901
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
290.3999939
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
295
Predicted objective
Invalidation
290
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
292.74
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
1.02%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.69%
Risk / Reward
1.48
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.55%
closed
Current Price
290.3999939
Live Score
59.72
Distance to Target Now
1.58%
Distance to Invalidation Now
0.14%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-28T23:14:27
First Checked
2026-05-30T01:01:29
Last Checked
2026-05-30T01:01:29
Resolved
2026-05-30T01:01:29
Resolved At
2026-05-30T01:01:29
Resolved Candle
2026-05-29T13:30:00
Max High
291.41000366
Max High At
2026-05-29T13:30:00
Min Low
288.32998657
Min Low At
2026-05-29T13:30:00
Time To Result
25.78h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-29T00:13:31
External Post ID
k-HjXo0mrWQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on three stocks: BBAI, SPY, and IWM, all showing bullish trends. BBAI recently formed a bullish engulfing candlestick and is approaching the 5.314 level, with a fail bound at 4.704. SPY is exhibiting a strong upward movement, targeting 764.6, with invalidation below 750.68. IWM also shows a bullish sentiment, aiming for 295.0, with a fail bound at 290.0. The overall market sentiment, as indicated by these instruments, suggests continued upward momentum with key resistance levels identified for potential upside targets.

Original Caption

BBAI (BigBear.ai) Big Breakout Triggered? | BBAI Stock Analysis BBAI (BigBear.ai) stock just made a massive move today after coming off a textbook bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe. This type of buyer confidence can trigger prolonged big moves, should we expect one here? In this analysis, we break down the key levels on BBAI, potential scenarios, and how broader market conditions could impact price in the coming days and weeks. 📈 Want to be able to read charts and take good trades with confidence? I built The Traders Framework: Chart Reading, Structure & Decision-Making 🏆 Get Access Here: https://ianctrades.com Subscribe for weekly trading insights, strategies, and market breakdowns. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #bbai #bigbearai #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal