Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-05-17T13:30:13weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.04%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
422.13000488
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
381.49
Predicted objective
Invalidation
430.74
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
422.24
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
9.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.04%
Risk / Reward
4.72
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-2.04%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
52.51
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-17T13:30:13
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:02:42
Last Checked
2026-05-23T01:31:51
Resolved
2026-05-23T01:31:51
Resolved At
2026-05-23T01:31:51
Resolved Candle
2026-05-22T14:30:00
Max High
430.82998657
Max High At
2026-05-22T14:30:00
Min Low
393.63000488
Min Low At
2026-05-19T14:30:00
Time To Result
132.02h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T06:54:24
External Post ID
HzQK_YFelTY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla (TSLA) using a weekly chart. The current price is observed at 422.24. The technical outlook suggests a bearish trend, with a target price identified at 381.49. The fail bound for this bearish prediction is set at 430.74, indicating that a price move above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook. The analysis also references an intra-day resistance level at 452.57 and a longer-term channel bottom support near 381.49. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is also noted as a key area of interest. The overall sentiment points towards potential downside pressure, with a target of 381.49 being a significant level to watch.

Original Caption

Tesla Stock Price Analysis | Top $TSLA Levels To Watch for May 18th, 2026 In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for Tesla. Our aim is to bring you directional clarity for Tesla stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for May 18th, 2026. 🟢 Get daily NVDA, SPY, and QQQ analysis. Start your 14-day free trial https://wickedstocks.com/expert-analysis/ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Resources: Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://www.wickedstocks.com/2026/05/17/tesla-tsla-daily-analysis-05-18-26/ Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ Join 3,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our opinions. Channels: ➡ Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ ➡ X: https://x.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #tesla #tsla #stockscanner #stockanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #stockstobuy #teslastock #elonmusk #sp500 #spy #nasdaq #teslanews #teslastockupdate #tslastock #teslamodels #teslaprice #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading #daytrade #stockstotrade #trend

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal