Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2026-05-14T12:46:06dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.18%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
447.64498901
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
475
Predicted objective
Invalidation
420
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
445
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
6.11%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.18%
Risk / Reward
0.99
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-6.18%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
58.15
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-14T12:46:06
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:02:42
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:02:42
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:02:42
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:02:42
Resolved Candle
2026-05-18T13:30:00
Max High
449.54000854
Max High At
2026-05-14T16:30:00
Min Low
411.01098633
Min Low At
2026-05-18T13:30:00
Time To Result
132.27h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.03
Success Rate
44.96%
Consistency
92.21
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.8%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T06:08:19
External Post ID
z2NcNX-P-jE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market sentiment appears bullish across major indices and several tech stocks, with clear upward trends and bullish continuations. CSCO, MNQ, ES, BTCUSDT, XAUUSD, TSLA, NVDA, and AAPL are all showing strong bullish momentum, with key support levels holding and targets identified at higher price points. Bitcoin is near a buy zone at 79,550, with a target of 83,000 and a fail bound at 75,000. Gold is also in a bullish trend, with a target of 2450 and a fail bound at 2300. US Oil is showing similar strength. However, SHOP and META are in neutral or slightly bearish positions, with SHOP showing a sell signal and needing to consolidate before a potential reversal. The overall market is characterized by strong uptrends, but traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks, especially in stocks showing early signs of weakness or uncertainty.

Original Caption

Cisco Pump - Bitcoin and Stock Market Technical Analysis Click Youtube channel link below to Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCruE6nggpVnCYclIPxATeVA/join Discord Server Link: Please comment on video to join Discord Server. If you like video please donate : https://paypal.me/linktoharry?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US These video's are for education only, Invest at your own risk, not a financial advise #fomc #csco #stockmarket #daytrading #stockmarketanalysis #optionstrading #tradeideas #technicalanalysis #stockmarketcrash #us500 #mes #mnq #spx #emini #spy #us100 #ndx #qqq #us30 #dji #us2000 #iwm #russell2000 #vix #bitcoin #ethereum #btc #btcusd #eth #ethusd #crypto #cryptocurrency #gold #gc #silver #dollar #dxy #crudeoil #oil #cl #naturalgas #ng #ung #crwd #tesla #tsla #apple #appl #msft #amd #nvda #meta #nflx #amd #now #avgo #xlc #xle #xlu #xlv #xlk #xli #xlf #gdx #gdxu #gdxj #sugar #cane #corn #wheat #weat #soyabean #soyb #commodity #tqqq #sqqq #fngu #fngd #bulz #soxl #soxs #qqu #qqd #viral #viralvideo #viralshorts #nasdaq #sp500

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal