Prediction Case File
SMHstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Trading Titan2026-03-07T01:37:48dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.49%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
380.51000977
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
330
Predicted objective
Invalidation
390
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
380.56
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
13.27%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.49%
Risk / Reward
5.32
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.49%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
58.31
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-07T01:37:48
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved Candle
2026-03-09T18:30:00
Max High
393.26000977
Max High At
2026-03-09T18:30:00
Min Low
374.16009521
Min Low At
2026-03-09T13:30:00
Time To Result
1,775.4h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Trading Titan
YouTube · @tradingtitan9586
Reliability
54.52
Success Rate
44.16%
Consistency
93.66
Risk Adjusted
-1.31
Avg Return
0.53%
Avg Quality
3.61
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T05:16:31
External Post ID
GPD8r1g8I8E
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on several US stocks (SPY, NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, AMZN, SMH), predominantly identifying bearish setups. For SPY, the analysis suggests a target of 660 with a fail bound at 678, indicating a bearish prediction with a bearish actual trend. NVDA is analyzed with a bearish target of 140 and a fail bound at 180, also showing a bearish actual trend. AAPL is predicted to reach 234 with a fail bound at 260, reflecting a bearish outlook and trend. TSLA's bearish target is set at 380 with a fail bound at 400, aligning with its bearish trend. AMZN is expected to fall to 190 with a fail bound at 215, also showing a bearish trend. Finally, SMH is analyzed with a target of 330 and a fail bound of 390, matching its bearish trend. The overall market sentiment expressed is bearish, with specific price targets and failure points identified for each stock.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal