Prediction Case File
RIOTstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Aaron Bennett2026-04-26T15:53:43dailytechnical
Live Outcome
34.52%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
18.58499908
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
25
Predicted objective
Invalidation
15
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
18.61
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
34.52%
Initial Invalidation Distance
19.29%
Risk / Reward
1.79
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
34.52%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-04-26T15:53:43
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-05-11T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-05-11T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-05-11T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
348.1h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Aaron Bennett
YouTube · @abennett
Reliability
52.82
Success Rate
42.2%
Consistency
89.08
Risk Adjusted
-11.11
Avg Return
-2.73%
Avg Quality
3.28
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
6VXERaKwDio
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The speaker highlights the shift of Bitcoin mining companies towards AI infrastructure, citing the growth and potential of AI. While no direct Bitcoin analysis is provided, the speaker expresses optimism about the AI sector and the companies pivoting into it, suggesting a positive outlook for these stocks based on their focus and recent performance. Several mining stocks are mentioned as performing well, indicating a potential bullish trend for these specific assets.

Original Caption

Sell Your Claim w/ FTX Creditor: https://www.ftxcreditor.com Follow Louis on X: https://x.com/LouisOrigny (i deleted my last video because i messed up in a part of it. this is the updated video) JOIN MY CELSIUS EMAIL LIST: https://aaronbtc.com/celsiuslist Crypto Taxes (I use them) https://cryptotaxgirl.com/call To contact Laura directly: laura@cryptotaxgirl.com Mention Aaron to get $100 off your final bill

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal