Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Thomas Kralow2025-08-14T15:29:25intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.05%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
118,150.62
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
123,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
111,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
115,094
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
4.1%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.05%
Risk / Reward
0.68
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-6.05%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-14T15:29:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
243.5h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Thomas Kralow
YouTube · @ThomasKralow
Reliability
47.1
Success Rate
34.07%
Consistency
92.01
Risk Adjusted
-9.23
Avg Return
-2.77%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
vH2o7fA286Y
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses setting up a trading account on a decentralized exchange, Evedex, highlighting its privacy and security features with self custody. The video outlines a basic approach to market analysis by identifying potential entry and exit points based on price levels. He recommends using candlestick charts, trend identification through higher highs and lows, and understanding when an uptrend is broken. As an example, the video proposes identifying a 'level theory,' spotting high probability trading zones. The analyst mentions using Fibonacci retracement, and RSI. A strategy using proper stop loss and a 3:1 risk reward for new traders is suggested. Risk management is emphasized, mentioning rules such as never risking more than 1% per trade and the three losses rule, which advocates stopping trading after three consecutive losses. Evedex trading platform interface with its custom timeframes, indicators, and drawing tools, along with deposit methods and the concept of smart contracts. All funds stay in the smart contract always. There are additional rewards for reaching trading goals as well.

Original Caption

If you want to learn how to trade, then welcome to the full crypto trading course. From setting up an exchange account to technical analysis, risk management, entry/exit strategies, indicators and more! ---------- Trade (Non KYC) with EVEDEX: https://invite.evedex.com/startnow (10% CASHBACK ) ______ #ethereum #bitcoin #crypto ______ FOR PARTNERSHIPS EMAIL MY TEAM: kralowpr@gmail.com ______ FOLLOW ME ON SOCIAL MEDIA: My Instagram account: https://www.instagram.com/thomaskralow/ My Telegram channel: https://t.me/kralowalerts My Facebook account: https://www.facebook.com/thomaskralow My X: https://X.com/TKralow My Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thomaskralow 00:00 Introduction & Course Overview 01:11 Choosing Centralized VS Decentralized Exchange 02:05 Introduction To EVEDEX & Its Features 06:04 Deposit Methods 08:01 Transferring Funds To Trading Account 08:44 Cashback & Gamification 09:55 Trading Terminal Overview & Chart Layout 16:03 Placing Trades: Market & Limit orders 18:33 Stop Loss, Take Profit & Risk Management Basics 21:13 Leverage Explanation & Safe Usage 23:27 Risk Management Rules 25:43 Candlestick Structure & Reading Charts 27:49 Basic Technical Analysis: Trends & Patterns 33:08 Support/Resistance Levels & Level theory 40:09 Indicators Overview: Fibonacci, RSI 44:17 Combining Indicators With Entry/Exit Planning 45:12 EVEDEX Academy & Further Education 46:48 Exclusive Community DISCLAIMER: Trading is risky and most traders lose money. Past trading performance of Thomas Kralow or his team is not indicative of future returns and results. You should never trade with money you can’t afford to lose. My results are not typical. We do not track the typical results of past or current subscribers who watch my videos or are in my community. It’s simply not possible. As a provider of trading tools and educational courses, we do not have access to the personal trading accounts or brokerage statements of our customers and/or viewers. As a result, we have no reason to believe our customers/viewers perform better or worse than traders as a whole. Do not mirror trade me, or anyone else. Mirror trading is extremely risky. Please do your own research before putting your capital at risk. All of the content on my channel is for educational purposes only. No data, content, or information provided by Thomas Kralow, associated websites, or the other products and services of Thomas Kralow, is intended, and shall not constitute or be construed as, advice or any recommendation to buy, sell or hold a particular security/asset or pursue any particular investment strategy. This video may include affiliate links or sponsored mentions but does not constitute an endorsement. Any featured companies, products, platforms, or services reflect my personal opinion and experience. I may earn a compensation. Always do your own research before using third-party services. Not intended for users in the UK, US, India, China, or other restricted jurisdictions. If you don’t agree with those terms and our full disclaimer - you should not continue watching my videos.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal