Prediction Case File
ETHBTCcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Savvy Finance2026-04-12T22:29:55weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.62%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.03097
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.0355
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.0283
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.03104
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
14.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.62%
Risk / Reward
1.7
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-8.62%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-04-12T22:29:55
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-05-12T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-05-12T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-05-12T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
697.5h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Savvy Finance
YouTube · @SavvyFinanceOfficial
Reliability
41.9
Success Rate
26.56%
Consistency
83.81
Risk Adjusted
-13.69
Avg Return
-3.56%
Avg Quality
3.32
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
WEFN4b0xmKA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on the ETH/BTC pair, indicating a potential break upwards from a descending channel. The current price is at 0.03104, with a target of 0.0355 and a stop loss at 0.0283. The overall market sentiment is also discussed in relation to Bitcoin's performance and broader financial conditions.

Original Caption

Grow your crypto and gold tax-free with iTrustCapital IRA — no monthly fees, and get a $100 bonus when you fund your account. https://www.itrustcapital.com/go/savvy-finance Are we really in a bull market… or is this just another fake move before a deeper correction? In this video, Raoul Pal breaks down the current state of the crypto market and explains why this recent pullback may not be the end of the cycle—but a mid-cycle reset. But the real focus here isn’t just Bitcoin. Raoul highlights a critical chart—the performance of altcoins relative to Bitcoin—that is now approaching a major breakout level. This is the same structure that has historically marked the beginning of altseason. And then there’s the macro backdrop. Tensions between the United States and Iran continue to create uncertainty across global markets, with failed negotiations and rising geopolitical risks adding pressure to risk assets—including crypto. Despite all of this, the bigger picture remains intact. Is this the early stage of altseason… or the final pause before the next major move? If you found this valuable: Like the video, subscribe to the channel, and turn on notifications so you don’t miss what’s coming next. Drop a comment below: Are you positioning for Bitcoin dominance… or altseason? #Crypto #Bitcoin #Altcoins #RaoulPal #CryptoMarket #Investing #Blockchain #Ethereum #Macro #Finance -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sources: Real Vision and Raoul Pal The Journey Man Are We in a Bull or a Bear Market? | REKT Vision with Raoul Pal https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B1GlDX82UJ4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER This channel is intended to share tips and investment videos by experts. We DO NOT GIVE FINANCIAL ADVICE! Please consult a licensed financial advisor and do your own research before making any financial action.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal