Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-04-01T16:49:43dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.63%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
381.32000732
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
333.59
Predicted objective
Invalidation
391.35
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
371.87
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
12.52%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.63%
Risk / Reward
4.76
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.63%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-04-01T16:49:43
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-15T15:30:00
Resolved At
2026-04-15T15:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-15T15:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
334.67h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
7IPcq4zy82Q
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla (TSLA) with a bearish outlook. A sell signal was issued six weeks prior, targeting 333.59 as a 2-3 month target. The price tested 356.54 (a 50% downside retracement) and has been contained by weekly selling pressures. If TSLA closes above 391.35, a reversal and long position up to 428.22 is possible. However, the anticipation remains for a move towards the 330s, completing the objective of covering short positions. The mention of GEV, AMD, and HOOD suggests potential bullish stock picks, but without specific price targets or timeframes in this segment.

Original Caption

Please ️like and share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla has been in a sell signal for ~6 weeks after breaking $428.22. The primary downside target remains $333.59 (2–3 month objective). We’re ~2 months into that move → trend is still bearish unless proven otherwise. Even with this bounce, the macro direction hasn’t flipped yet. * This is a counter-trend bounce inside a downtrend—not a confirmed reversal. Upside Levels: – $371.87 → short-term pivot if price opens/holds above, momentum can push higher fast – $391.35 → CRITICAL LEVEL, near-term target AND resistance, also a short entry zone – $406.23 → next resistance (channel top) – $428.22 → major resistance (trend invalidation zone) Downside Level: – $356.54 → key support (50% retracement) – $333.59 → PRIMARY TARGET, completion of the current bearish cycle * Scenario 1: Short-Term Bounce → Then Lower (Base Case) – Move into $391.35 – Fail there → short opportunity – Then a pullback to $356.54, possibly continue to $333.59 Scenario 2: Breakout → Temporary Bull Phase If #TSLA closes above $391.35 (1–2 days), momentum flips short-term bullish Targets: $406.23 then $420–$428 zone within 1–3 weeks Important: even here, $428.22 is still major resistance, likely to cap price and send it lower again. Scenario 3: True Trend Reversal (Not Yet Confirmed) Only if $TSLA closes above $428.22 on a higher timeframe, then opens the path to $530s (3–5 months), but this is NOT the current expectation. * Tactical Trading Plan: – Above $371.87 → momentum long to $391 – At $391.35 → take profits / look for shorts – Below $356.54 → stay bearish → target $333 – Above $391.35 (confirmed close) → flip long → target $420+ * This still looks like a bear market rally within a larger downtrend. * If you enjoyed this update, please like and share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for Apr 1, 2026, in this short video

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal