Prediction Case File
SPYstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-03-28T19:28:47dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.27%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
634.08001709
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
600.87
Predicted objective
Invalidation
635.8
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
633.11
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.24%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.27%
Risk / Reward
19.31
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.27%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-28T19:28:47
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-03-30T13:30:00
Resolved At
2026-03-30T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-03-30T13:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
42.02h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
AvSEYqWrGxY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The S&P 500 (SPY) has experienced a significant sell-off, breaking down from a prolonged consolidation range. The price action indicates a bearish trend, with key support levels being breached. Future analysis suggests a potential retest of the $630 level, with further downside targets around $615-$612 and a significant psychological level at $600. The recent downward momentum, driven by fundamental factors, suggests continued bearish pressure. Traders should monitor these levels for potential shorting opportunities.

Original Caption

The S&P500 (SPY) has seen some serious volatility along with rest of the market. What can we expect from here? In this analysis, we break down the key levels on SPY, potential scenarios, and how broader market conditions could impact price in the coming days and weeks. Want to confidently read charts and take trades without guessing? I built The Traders Framework: Chart Reading, Structure & Decision-Making to teach you exactly how to analyze charts, manage risk properly, control emotions, and execute with confidence. Get Access Here: https://ianctrades.com Subscribe for weekly technical analysis and stock market breakdowns. #stockmarketanalysis #stocktrading #technicalanalysis ️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal