Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2026-03-28T18:30:35dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.57%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
361.76000977
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
300
Predicted objective
Invalidation
400
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
365.53
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
17.07%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.57%
Risk / Reward
1.62
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.57%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-28T18:30:35
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-17T14:30:00
Resolved At
2026-04-17T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-17T14:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
475.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
42.91
Success Rate
28.12%
Consistency
76.69
Risk Adjusted
-14.96
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
pLxcMB90ck0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The S&P 500 has seen a significant drop of 500 points, breaking below its 100-day moving average and showing bearish continuation. Tesla is also showing bearish signs, trading below a key support level that previously acted as resistance. Natural Gas, however, is displaying a bullish pattern within a widening channel, with potential for an upward move towards the upper trendline. The overall market sentiment appears mixed, with a strong bearish trend in the S&P 500 and Tesla, while Natural Gas shows signs of recovery.

Original Caption

Nick Valdez goes over the latest news with the SP500 and Nat Gas. Major macro events are making assets more volatile and hedging will be key for your portfolio in 2026! https://www.bitgettradfi.com/ Join Our Trading Group Discord - https://discord.gg/pJYe4Z9FWa BTC Conference - https://fxo.co/JAnx ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ️ Protect your BTC From Taxes - https://bitcoinira.com/ ️ Crypto Tax Services - https://www.decrypted.tax/ ️ Use 'DC20' for 20% off Arculus - https://www.getarculus.com/products/arculus-cold-storage-wallet Bitcoin Ticker Box - https://tickerbox.eu?sca_ref=8841235.jarE9W1myNW ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ️ Follow on X - https://x.com/DiscoverCrypto_ ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person's opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice. Our videos are sponsored & include affiliate content. Digital Assets are highly volatile and carry a considerable amount of risk. Only use exchanges for trading digital assets. We never keep our entire portfolio on an exchange. #bitcoin #crypto #ad

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal