Prediction Case File
CGNXstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)2025-08-13T17:00:06monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
13.15%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
44.18999863
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
50
Predicted objective
Invalidation
33
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
42.86
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.15%
Initial Invalidation Distance
25.32%
Risk / Reward
0.52
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
13.15%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-13T17:00:06
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-12T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-12T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-12T05:00:00
Max High
47.97999954
Max High At
-
Min Low
40.14500046
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
4,379.98h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)
YouTube · @FelixFriends
Reliability
67.24
Success Rate
62.29%
Consistency
85.06
Risk Adjusted
-2.07
Avg Return
3.95%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
xt2_cPrQPZ4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The Motley Fool identified CGNX, Cognex Corporation, ticker CGNX, as a stock with huge potential due to a deal with Apple. The stock pays a dividend and was founded in 1981 in Natick, Massachusetts. It is a leader in machine vision systems (the eyes for robots and machines, helping them inspect, guide, and read barcodes). The stock is playing a critical role in Apple’s supply chain, as a confirmed supplier to Apple providing machine vision systems for iPhone manufacturing, representing 20% of revenue historically. Apple is developing a tabletop robot J595, which could drive massive revenue growth for Cognex. It has partnerships with Amazon for warehouse automation. The current stock analysis chart indicates a moderate buy analyst rating. Price targets are around 50-52, implying 16% upside. The 50-day moving average is used to spot entry points. Resistance is noted around the sideways movement between August to the beginning of this year and the bag holders.

Original Caption

‍Download the full workbook at https://felixfriends.org/potential Sign up for the Saturday Live Training here: https://felixfriends.org/training Meet Felix Prehn: I'm your host, Felix Prehn. My journey took me from being a novice investor to an investment banker, a corporate lawyer, and an entrepreneur. Investing was my key to early retirement at 40. My goal? To empower YOU to navigate the financial market with ease and transparency, free from the conventional financial system's noise. Let's embark on this journey to financial freedom together! ️This is from my lovely lawyers: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute and should not be construed as financial or investment advice or an offer to purchase or sell securities. The content is not personalized or tailored to a specific person or group of persons, nor to their personal investment or financial needs. You should consult a financial adviser or other investment professional authorized to provide investment advice. Investing comes with risks, including the risk of loss. Presentations of trades made by Felix Prehn or Goat Academy Ltd or its personnel are not a guarantee that any investment decision made by a student will be successful. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Some of the accounts we highlight from time to time are our top performing accounts and the results shown are not typical. Trades shown may be from simulated trading or live trading accounts. *CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:33 What Cognex Does – The Eyes for Robots 01:57 Key Bullish Reasons – Apple Supply Chain Role 02:51 Apple’s Robotics Push – Project J595 03:44 Potential Growth from Apple’s Robotics Project 04:24 Other Major Partnerships – Amazon, American Eagle, EV Battery Leaders 05:26 Strong Financials – High Margins, No Debt, $800M Cash 06:19 Why Being ‘Late’ Can Be Better for Investors 07:04 Key Risks – Cyclical Revenue and Unconfirmed Apple Link 08:10 Reading the Stock Chart – Spotting Wall Street Moves 09:11 Breaking Resistance and Bagholder Selling Pressure 09:53 MRSI Indicator – Finding Sector Winners 11:20 The Law of Innovation – Why Being Late Can Pay Off 11:49 Outro #felixprehn #stockmarket

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal