Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

AllinCrypto2025-08-13T16:15:14weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.08%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,691.41
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5,300
Predicted objective
Invalidation
4,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,674
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
12.97%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.08%
Risk / Reward
3.18
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-4.08%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-13T16:15:14
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-14T13:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-14T13:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-14T13:00:00
Max High
4,788
Max High At
-
Min Low
4,451.33
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
20.73h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

AllinCrypto
YouTube · @realallincrypto
Reliability
41.02
Success Rate
25.29%
Consistency
84.53
Risk Adjusted
-25
Avg Return
-8.43%
Avg Quality
3.31
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
eZSMp3PmCBU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis is based on technical analysis. The presenter discusses Bitcoin with an inferred target of 135000 and a fail range of 117000. A bull flag is visible on the BTCUSD chart. Continuation is expected. Furthermore ETHUSD chart is showing bullish price action, and a breakout has occurred, with an inferred target of 5300 and failure at 4500. Lastly, the Total Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization chart, excluding Bitcoin, is also displayed, showing a pattern poised for a breakout into price discovery with an inferred target of 1727 and failure at 1600. The analyst suggests this is due to investors seeking uncorrelated assets which suggests this space as a whole will continue to see growth.

Original Caption

Welcome back for another daily market update as always this will be a jam packed one! Join the Patreon and get exclusive access to our private Discord community which includes: 2 Weekly Meetings With Me My Portfolio Altcoin Watch List Early Access To Interviews And Videos Courses Patreon Link https://www.patreon.com/AllinCrypto Our website: https://allincrypto.com/ Podcasts - Allincrypto Podcast Our Cardano Stake Pool Name: ALLIN My Twitter - https://twitter.com/RealAllinCrypto PLEASE LIKE COMMENT AND SUBSCRIBE FOR MORE CONTENT THANKS FOR WATCHING DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser and this video is not financial advise this video is here for entertainment and educational use only #bitcoin #btc #crypto #altcoins #ai #bullrun #solana #cardano #ada #Hbar #hedera #ethereum #eth #ripple #xrp #icp

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal