Prediction Case File
MSFTstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2025-08-12T22:15:44dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.92%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
529.46002197
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
536
Predicted objective
Invalidation
519.31
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
529.13
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
1.24%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.92%
Risk / Reward
0.64
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.92%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-12T22:15:44
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-15T19:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-15T19:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-15T19:30:00
Max High
532.70001221
Max High At
-
Min Low
519.09002686
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
69.23h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.42
Success Rate
46.85%
Consistency
92.79
Risk Adjusted
-3.06
Avg Return
0.13%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
-UEYPeRAFSM
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of several stocks and indices. The Nasdaq is up 1.2%, making new all-time highs, with support around 20600. The S&P 500 is showing a strong green candle with support at 6225. Bitcoin is consolidating sideways with support at 119000. The analysis suggests buying on volatility spikes, identifying SOXL as up over 8%. It specifically discusses the magnificent seven: Apple target is 232 and fail at 220, and Amazon consolidating with rejection around 225 and support 213-214. Tesla is shown retesting around 334/335, with a target 360, Microsoft, with target 536 and Nvidia also reviewed. Google shows a breakout with support turning near 178, targeting 208. Broadcom shows consistent higher highs with strong support at 270.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal