Prediction Case File
DUOLstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Long Term Mindset2025-08-12T19:24:03monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
14.74%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
322.48001099
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
370
Predicted objective
Invalidation
275.31
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
331.67
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
14.74%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.63%
Risk / Reward
1.01
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
14.74%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-12T19:24:03
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-18T17:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-18T17:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-18T17:30:00
Max High
371
Max High At
-
Min Low
307.04998779
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
142.08h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Long Term Mindset
YouTube · @BrianFeroldiYT
Reliability
52.97
Success Rate
50%
Consistency
90.49
Risk Adjusted
-4.27
Avg Return
0.54%
Avg Quality
3.82
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
UUZk_mQreXc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis reviews Duolingo's second-quarter performance, noting a 42% revenue increase but a 47% rise in the cost of revenues due to investments in Duolingo Max. Earnings per share grew by almost 80%, and operating and net margins expanded. Free cash flow and net income also increased. The company has $1.1 billion in cash and zero debt. Investments in AI for Duolingo Max are front-loaded, impacting gross margins. Operating expenses rose by 33%. The company announced it will become AI-first, leading to non-renewal of contracts. Total monthly active users were at 128 million, a 24% increase year-over-year, while daily active users did not pull back. Paid subscribers reached 11.1 million, up 36%. Subscription bookings are up 45%. Analyst’s 10 year revenue expectations are for it to grow by about 18%. A reverse DCF analysis indicates the company is fairly valued with target price about 370 based on his investment criteria.

Original Caption

▼ Try Finchat for FREE ▼ https://fiscal.ai/brian — Our favorite stock research tool https://longtermmindset.co/teacher — FREE Webinar ▼ Shop Our Store! ▼ https://longtermmindset.co/store — Browse Our Store ▼ABOUT US:▼ ‍Brian Feroldi is an author (https://amzn.to/3JVr9Q0), investor, YouTuber, and financial educator. He's been investing in the stock market since 2004. Brian likes to buy and hold the highest quality companies he can find. ‍Brian Stoffel is a writer, investor, YouTuber, and financial educator. He's a teacher at heart. Brian has been investing for over a decade and has written over 4,000 articles for The Motley Fool. Brian plans his life and his investments around “antifragile” principles. ️ Disclaimer: ️ This content is for educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this video should be considered financial advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the risk of losing your principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research. If you need personalized advice, consult a licensed financial, legal, or tax professional. The opinions shared are my own as of the recording date and may change without notice. I do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information shared. By watching this video, you agree not to hold me or any guest liable for decisions made based on this content. Some links included may be affiliate links, which means I may earn a commission if you use them, at no extra cost to you. I only recommend products I believe in.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
DUOL Bullish Signal by Long Term Mindset | Tahlil Plus AI